KF Feronikeli vs KF Llapi

Match details. Xk1. Kick-off is Wed 14 Oct, 13:00 Lagos time.

Form. KF Feronikeli have won four, drawn one and lost five of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W L W L. KF Llapi have won three, drawn none and lost seven of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L W L.

The numbers. KF Feronikeli score 1.6 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. KF Feronikeli average 13.3 shots (7.0 on target), 5.3 corners and 1.7 cards a game, with 55% of the ball. KF Llapi score two and concede three a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. KF Llapi average 10.7 shots (4.5 on target), 5.0 corners and 3.0 cards a game, with 50% of the ball.

Head to head. In the last ten meetings KF Feronikeli have won none, drawn one and lost nine. Five of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in three. In the last four, one was drawn and KF Llapi won three.

Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: their goals for and against make KF Feronikeli the likelier winners, but KF Feronikeli are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour KF Llapi; the meetings favour KF Llapi. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 69%.

The case against. KF Llapi's record still gives them 60% to win. The meetings do not back them. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to a tight game.

The read. KF Feronikeli or the draw. An open game. Their goals for and against make KF Feronikeli the likelier winners; KF Feronikeli are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour KF Llapi; the meetings favour KF Llapi. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 69%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: KF Feronikeli 2-1 KF Llapi (9% chance).