Match details. Thai League 2, Regular Season - 6. Kick-off is Wed 14 Oct, 12:00 Lagos time. It is played at Pitchaya Stadium, Nong Bua Lam Phu.
What's at stake. Nongbua Pitchaya FC are 9th on 8 points after 5 games, level on points with Muang Loei United, 1 point clear of Nakhon Pathom. A win would take them above Muang Loei United. Chiangmai United are 5th on 9 points after 5 games, level on points with Satun, level on points with Khon Kaen United. A win would take them above Satun.
Form. Nongbua Pitchaya FC have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W D L W. Chiangmai United have won five, drawn none and lost five of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W W L.
The numbers. Nongbua Pitchaya FC score 2.8 and concede 1.6 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. Nongbua Pitchaya FC average 11.6 shots (4.4 on target), 5.6 corners and 3.1 cards a game. Chiangmai United score 1.6 and concede 1.2 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal. Chiangmai United average 8.9 shots (4.2 on target), 4.4 corners and 2.4 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Nongbua Pitchaya FC have won seven, drawn two and lost one. Six of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, Nongbua Pitchaya FC won three and Chiangmai United won one. The last time they met, on 18 Apr 2026, it finished Nongbua Pitchaya FC 0-3 Chiangmai United.
The case against. Chiangmai United's record still gives them 27% to win.
The read. Nongbua Pitchaya FC to win. An open game. Both teams' records favour Nongbua Pitchaya FC; the meetings favour Nongbua Pitchaya FC. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 73%. Six of the last ten meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.18, 83% on the records (Nongbua Pitchaya FC: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home; Chiangmai United: over 1.5 goals in 7 of 10). Backup: Chiangmai United Over 0.5 Goals at 1.40. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Chiangmai United or Over 2.5 Goals (the call backs Nongbua Pitchaya FC); Chiangmai United or Over 1.5 Goals (the call backs Nongbua Pitchaya FC); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Nongbua Pitchaya FC 2-1 Chiangmai United (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).