Match details. J.League Cup. Kick-off is Wed 14 Oct, 11:00 Lagos time.
Form. Yokohama F Marinos have won six, drawn three and lost one of their last ten, 2.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W W W D. Shimizu S-Pulse have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W W W.
The numbers. Yokohama F Marinos score 1.4 and concede 0.4 a game in their last five at home, with three clean sheets. Yokohama F Marinos average 9.4 shots (2.9 on target), 2.0 corners and 1.8 cards a game. Shimizu S-Pulse score 1.1 and concede one a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Shimizu S-Pulse average 8.0 shots (2.6 on target), 6.0 corners and 1.4 cards a game.
The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 29%.
The bets. Best bet: Under 2.5 Goals at 1.82, 71% on the records (Yokohama F Marinos: under 2.5 goals in 6 of 7; Shimizu S-Pulse: under 2.5 goals in 4 of 7). Backup: Under 2.5 first-half goals at 1.09. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Yokohama F Marinos or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Over 6.5 Corners (the signs point different ways); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Yokohama F Marinos 1-0 Shimizu S-Pulse (14% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).