Sagan Tosu vs Avispa Fukuoka

Match details. Jp2. Kick-off is Wed 14 Oct, 11:00 Lagos time.

Form. Sagan Tosu have won one, drawn one and lost three of their last five, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L L D. In this competition Sagan Tosu have gone W L L L. Avispa Fukuoka have won one, drawn two and lost two of their last five, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D L D L.

The numbers. Sagan Tosu score 0.6 and concede 1.4 a game over their last five, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Sagan Tosu average 13.2 shots (5.3 on target), 6.7 corners and 0.5 cards a game, with 56% of the ball. Avispa Fukuoka score 1.2 and concede 1.4 a game over their last five, with no clean sheets. Avispa Fukuoka average 15.2 shots (5.8 on target), 7.0 corners and 2.1 cards a game, with 42% of the ball.

Head to head. In the last ten meetings Sagan Tosu have won one, drawn four and lost five. Two of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in two. In the last four, two were drawn and Avispa Fukuoka won two.

Where it pulls both ways. Sagan Tosu are the form side, but the meetings favour Avispa Fukuoka: in the last ten meetings, Sagan Tosu won one, Avispa Fukuoka won five and four were drawn.

The read. No side to back. A tight game. Form and the meetings point different ways, so I back neither side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 22%. Eight of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Sagan Tosu or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Avispa Fukuoka or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Sagan Tosu 1-1 Avispa Fukuoka (14% chance).