Mito Hollyhock vs FC Tokyo
Match details. Jp1, Round of 32. Kick-off is Wed 14 Oct, 11:00 Lagos time. It is played at Best Denki Stadium, Mito.
What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.
Form. Mito Hollyhock have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L L D. In this competition Mito Hollyhock have gone W. FC Tokyo have won nine, drawn one and lost none of their last ten, 2.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W W W. In this competition FC Tokyo have gone W.
The numbers. Mito Hollyhock score 1.2 and concede 1.5 a game in their last six at home, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal. Mito Hollyhock average 9.0 shots (3.0 on target), 3.5 corners and 1.7 cards a game, with 48% of the ball. FC Tokyo score 2.6 and concede 0.1 a game over their last ten, with nine clean sheets. FC Tokyo average 15.0 shots (5.0 on target), 5.2 corners and 1.8 cards a game, with 52% of the ball.
Head to head. FC Tokyo have won all of the last two meetings. One of the two went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in one. The last time they met, on 24 Apr 2026, it finished Mito Hollyhock 2-5 FC Tokyo: Mito Hollyhock had 9 shots to 21, 51% of the ball, two yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 34%.
The case against. A knockout game (Round of 32) with penalties if level, and FC Tokyo are not clearly stronger. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to an open game.
The read. FC Tokyo or the draw. A tight game. Their goals for and against make FC Tokyo the likelier winners; FC Tokyo are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour FC Tokyo. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 34%.
The bets. Best bet: Draw or FC Tokyo at 1.22, 77% on the records (FC Tokyo unbeaten in 7 of 7; Mito Hollyhock failed to win 4 of 5 at home). Backup: Under 4.5 Goals at 1.11. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Predicted score: Mito Hollyhock 1-1 FC Tokyo (12% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).