MYMAT

11:00Wed 14 Oct

SAN

Matsumoto Yamaga FC vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima

CLASS D

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THE READ

Match details. Jp3, Round of 32. Kick-off is Wed 14 Oct, 11:00 Lagos time. It is played at Sunpro Alwin, Matsumoto.

What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.

Form. Matsumoto Yamaga FC have won three, drawn five and lost two of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W W D. Sanfrecce Hiroshima have won seven, drawn two and lost one of their last ten, 2.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W W W.

The numbers. Matsumoto Yamaga FC score 1.1 and concede 1.3 a game in their last seven at home, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. Matsumoto Yamaga FC average 10.9 shots (4.3 on target), 6.2 corners and 0.9 cards a game, with 47% of the ball. Sanfrecce Hiroshima score 1.4 and concede 0.6 a game in their last five away, with four clean sheets. Sanfrecce Hiroshima average 15.6 shots (6.4 on target), 6.3 corners and 1.2 cards a game, with 59% of the ball.

The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 36%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Matsumoto Yamaga FC 1-1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima (14% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Under 5.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.11

MAT 6 of 7 (86%) · SAN 5 of 5 (100%)93.9%

Matsumoto Yamaga FC: under 5.5 goals in 6 of 7 at home · Sanfrecce Hiroshima: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 90%

Under 4.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.29

MAT 6 of 7 (86%) · SAN 4 of 5 (80%)86.4%

Matsumoto Yamaga FC: under 4.5 goals in 6 of 7 at home · Sanfrecce Hiroshima: under 4.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 80%

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–1 13.7%

Matsumoto Yamaga FC goals →

Sanfrecce Hiroshima goals ↓

0-011%

1-09%

2-05%

3-02%

4-00.4%

5-00.1%

0-112%

1-114%

2-16%

3-12%

4-10.5%

5-10.1%

0-29%

1-29%

2-24%

3-21%

4-20.3%

5-20.1%

0-34%

1-34%

2-32%

3-30.6%

4-30.2%

5-30.0%

0-41%

1-41%

2-40.6%

3-40.2%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.4%

1-50.3%

2-50.2%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10

MATSUMOTO YAMAGA FCDDDDLDWWLW1.40 PPG

SANFRECCE HIROSHIMADWDWLWWWWW2.30 PPG

THE NUMBERS

MATSUMOTO YAMAGA FC HOMExSANFRECCE HIROSHIMA AWAY

1.10SCORED A GAME2.501.10CONCEDED A GAME0.6040%CLEAN SHEETS63%6.20CORNERS A GAME6.300.90CARDS A GAME1.20

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

1.10POINTS A GAME2.22-0.20GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+1.78+0.6SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+8.41.4LAST 5: POINTS A GAME2.410LEAGUE GAMES9

Sanfrecce Hiroshima: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference, more shots than it allows, better form (last 5).

SANFRECCE HIROSHIMA 0:2 HANDICAP

–

54 OF 60

NO PRICE YET

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

59%

NO · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

44%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

80%

NO · 85/90

MATSUMOTO YAMAGA FC OR DRAW

42%

NO · 80/85

SANFRECCE HIROSHIMA OR DRAW

82%

OKAY · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (10 and 9 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

MATSUMOTO YAMAGA FCxSANFRECCE HIROSHIMA

6GAMES51.00SCORED A GAME1.801.50CONCEDED A GAME0.802.5GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.650%OVER 1.5 GOALS60%50%OVER 2.5 GOALS40%50%BOTH SCORE40%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 4

MATSUMOTO YAMAGA FC 0 · 0%DRAW 1SANFRECCE HIROSHIMA 3 · 75%

2 of 4BOTH TEAMS SCORED

3 of 4OVER 1.5 GOALS

3 of 4OVER 2.5 GOALS

2 of 4OVER 3.5 GOALS

07/20/2019Matsumoto Yamaga FC 2 – 2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima

03/17/2019Matsumoto Yamaga FC 0 – 1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima

07/15/2015Matsumoto Yamaga FC 0 – 6 Sanfrecce Hiroshima

03/14/2015Matsumoto Yamaga FC 1 – 2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima

TRENDS

Matsumoto Yamaga FC have scored in 70% of their games.

Sanfrecce Hiroshima have scored in 90% of their games.

Matsumoto Yamaga FC kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.

Sanfrecce Hiroshima kept a clean sheet in 63% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetshead to headcornerscards