Match details. Jp2. Kick-off is Wed 14 Oct, 11:00 Lagos time.
Form. Jubilo Iwata have won five, drawn one and lost four of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W L L. Kawasaki Frontale have won six, drawn two and lost two of their last ten, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W D W.
The numbers. Jubilo Iwata score 1.2 and concede one a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Jubilo Iwata average 11.1 shots (4.5 on target), 7.1 corners and 1.8 cards a game, with 53% of the ball. Kawasaki Frontale score two and concede 1.2 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets. Kawasaki Frontale average 14.0 shots (5.8 on target), 4.9 corners and 1.4 cards a game, with 52% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Jubilo Iwata have won two, drawn three and lost five. Six of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in seven. In the last four, Jubilo Iwata won one and three were drawn.
The case against. Jubilo Iwata's record still gives them 28% to win.
The read. Kawasaki Frontale to win. An open game. Kawasaki Frontale are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Kawasaki Frontale. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 52%. Six of the last ten meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Draw or Kawasaki Frontale at 1.22, 72% on the records (Kawasaki Frontale unbeaten in 8 of 10; Jubilo Iwata failed to win 3 of 5 at home). Backup: Kawasaki Frontale Over 0.5 Goals at 1.14. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Kawasaki Frontale or Under 2.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); 1X2 - 2UP: Kawasaki Frontale (the signs point different ways); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Jubilo Iwata 1-2 Kawasaki Frontale (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).