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JAPAN - J.LEAGUE CUP
Gainare Tottori crestGTGAI
11:00Wed 14 Oct
CERCerezo Osaka crestCO

Gainare Tottori vs Cerezo Osaka

CLASS D
THE READ

Match details. Jp3. Kick-off is Wed 14 Oct, 11:00 Lagos time.

Form. Gainare Tottori have won five, drawn one and lost four of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D W W L. Cerezo Osaka have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W W D L.

The numbers. Gainare Tottori score 1.2 and concede 1.3 a game in their last six at home, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal. Gainare Tottori average 9.1 shots (4.3 on target), 3.2 corners and 1.4 cards a game, with 42% of the ball. Cerezo Osaka score 1.2 and concede one a game over their last ten, with five clean sheets and three games without a goal. Cerezo Osaka average 11.1 shots (4.0 on target), 5.8 corners and 1.6 cards a game, with 55% of the ball.

The case against. Gainare Tottori's record still gives them 29% to win. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to a tight game. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 40%.

The read. Cerezo Osaka or the draw. An open game. Both teams' records favour Cerezo Osaka.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Gainare Tottori 1-2 Cerezo Osaka (8% chance).

PICKSONE LIST
HALVES
Under 2.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY
1.13
GAI 6 of 6 (100%) · CER 9 of 10 (90%)93.3%
Gainare Tottori: the bet landed in 6 of 6 at home · Cerezo Osaka: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90% · on half-time scores
1st Half - GG/NG: NoPAGE ONLY
1.17
GAI 6 of 6 (100%) · CER 9 of 10 (90%)93.3%
Gainare Tottori: the bet landed in 6 of 6 at home · Cerezo Osaka: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90% · on half-time scores
2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5PAGE ONLY
1.20
GAI 5 of 6 (83%) · CER 8 of 10 (80%)82.8%
Gainare Tottori: the bet landed in 5 of 6 at home · Cerezo Osaka: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85% · on half-time scores
Under 1.5 first-half goalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.52
GAI 3 of 6 (50%) · CER 8 of 10 (80%)66.7%
Gainare Tottori: the bet landed in 3 of 6 at home · Cerezo Osaka: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 70% · on half-time scores
Left off the list: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–2 8.3%
Gainare Tottori goals →
Cerezo Osaka goals ↓
0-010%
1-010%
2-06%
3-02%
4-00.6%
5-00.1%
0-111%
1-114%
2-17%
3-13%
4-10.7%
5-10.2%
0-28%
1-28%
2-24%
3-22%
4-20.4%
5-20.1%
0-33%
1-33%
2-32%
3-30.7%
4-30.2%
5-30.0%
0-41%
1-41%
2-40.6%
3-40.2%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.3%
1-50.3%
2-50.1%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).

FORM · LAST 10
GAINARE TOTTORIWWLWLLWWDL1.60 PPG
CEREZO OSAKAWWLWDLDWWD1.80 PPG
THE NUMBERS
GAINARE TOTTORI HOMExCEREZO OSAKA AWAY
1.40SCORED A GAME1.201.40CONCEDED A GAME1.0020%CLEAN SHEETS50%3.20CORNERS A GAME5.801.40CARDS A GAME1.60
THE BANK
THE QUALITY READ
1.30POINTS A GAME1.33-0.70GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.56-4.0SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+1.81.2LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.210LEAGUE GAMES9
Cerezo Osaka: the quality side - more shots than it allows.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
87%
VERY GOOD · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
58%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
95%
VERY GOOD · 85/90
GAINARE TOTTORI OR DRAW
73%
NO · 80/85
CEREZO OSAKA OR DRAW
55%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (10 and 9 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
GAINARE TOTTORIxCEREZO OSAKA
5GAMES51.60SCORED A GAME0.802.00CONCEDED A GAME1.403.6GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.260%OVER 1.5 GOALS60%60%OVER 2.5 GOALS20%60%BOTH SCORE40%2.2CARDS IN THEIR GAMES–10.8CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 1
GAINARE TOTTORI 0 · 0%DRAW 0CEREZO OSAKA 1 · 100%
06/09/2021Gainare Tottori 0 – 2 Cerezo Osaka
TRENDS
Gainare Tottori have scored in 70% of their games.
Cerezo Osaka have scored in 70% of their games.
Gainare Tottori kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.
Cerezo Osaka kept a clean sheet in 50% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetshead to headcornerscards
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