Match details. Jp3. Kick-off is Wed 14 Oct, 11:00 Lagos time.
Form. Gainare Tottori have won five, drawn one and lost four of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D W W L. Cerezo Osaka have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W W D L.
The numbers. Gainare Tottori score 1.2 and concede 1.3 a game in their last six at home, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal. Gainare Tottori average 9.1 shots (4.3 on target), 3.2 corners and 1.4 cards a game, with 42% of the ball. Cerezo Osaka score 1.2 and concede one a game over their last ten, with five clean sheets and three games without a goal. Cerezo Osaka average 11.1 shots (4.0 on target), 5.8 corners and 1.6 cards a game, with 55% of the ball.
The case against. Gainare Tottori's record still gives them 29% to win. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to a tight game. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 40%.
The read. Cerezo Osaka or the draw. An open game. Both teams' records favour Cerezo Osaka.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Gainare Tottori 1-2 Cerezo Osaka (8% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).