Match details. Premier League, Regular Season - 8. Kick-off is Sun 25 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time. It is played at Selhurst Park, London. The referee is Paul Tierney.
What's at stake. Crystal Palace are 16th on 7 points after 7 games, level on points with Manchester United, 1 point clear of Bournemouth. A win would take them above Manchester United. Newcastle are 14th on 8 points after 7 games, level on points with Fulham, 1 point clear of Manchester United. A win would take them above Fulham.
Team news. Crystal Palace are without C. Riad (knee injury), T. Tomiyasu (calf injury), D. Henderson (foot injury), J. Larsen (injury), Q. Timber (injury), C. Riad (knee injury). Newcastle are without E. Jaouen (muscle injury), V. Livramento (knee injury), A. Elanga (knee injury), J. Ramsey (thigh injury), E. Jaouen (muscle injury), V. Livramento (knee injury).
Form. Crystal Palace have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L L W D. Newcastle have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W L W.
The numbers. Crystal Palace score 2.6 and concede 1.6 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. Crystal Palace average 9.1 shots (3.9 on target), 3.5 corners and 1.4 cards a game, with 43% of the ball. Newcastle score one and concede two a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets. Newcastle average 11.6 shots (3.8 on target), 5.9 corners and 2.4 cards a game, with 51% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last nine meetings Crystal Palace have won two, drawn three and lost four. Three of the nine went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in two. In the last four, Crystal Palace won one, one was drawn and Newcastle won two. The last time they met, on 12 Apr 2026, it finished Crystal Palace 2-1 Newcastle: Crystal Palace had 11 shots to 7, 41% of the ball, three yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 67%; six of the last nine meetings went under 2.5.
The case against. Not everything agrees on goals: six of the last nine meetings went under 2.5.
The read. No side to back. A draw is live. An open game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 67%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.16, 76% on the records (Crystal Palace: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 6; Newcastle: over 1.5 goals in 7 of 8). Backup: 2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5 at 1.17. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Crystal Palace or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Newcastle or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Crystal Palace 2-1 Newcastle (8% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).