Club Sando vs Mount Pleasant FC
Match details. CONCACAF Caribbean Cup, Semi-finals. Kick-off is Thu 15 Oct, 01:00 Lagos time. It is played at Hasely Crawford Stadium, Port of Spain.
What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.
Form. Club Sando have won six, drawn two and lost two of their last ten, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D W W D. Mount Pleasant FC have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W L W L.
The numbers. Club Sando score 1.4 and concede 0.6 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Club Sando average 7.8 shots (3.2 on target), 4.0 corners and 1.5 cards a game. Mount Pleasant FC score 1.4 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets. Mount Pleasant FC average 11.4 shots (5.8 on target), 4.1 corners and 1.4 cards a game.
The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 48%.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.22, 82% on the records (Club Sando: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home; Mount Pleasant FC: under 3.5 goals in 3 of 5 away). Backup: Mount Pleasant FC Under 1.5 Goals at 1.44. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Club Sando or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Club Sando (Draw No Bet) (no result call); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Club Sando 1-1 Mount Pleasant FC (14% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).