INTERNATIONAL CLUBS - AFC CHAMPIONS LEAGUE TWO

AJALJ

17:00Wed 14 Oct

ARK

Al Jazira (UAE) vs Arkadag FK

CLASS E

Pick card Full analysis Share

THE READ

Match details. AFC Champions League Two, Group Stage - 2. Kick-off is Wed 14 Oct, 17:00 Lagos time. It is played at Mohammad Bin Zayed Stadium, Abu Dhabi.

What's at stake. Al Jazira (UAE) are 2nd on 1 point after 1 game, 2 points behind Arkadag, level on points with Gol Gohar. A win would take them above Arkadag. Arkadag FK are 1st on 3 points after 1 game, 2 points clear of Al-Jazira.

Form. Al Jazira (UAE) have won six, drawn three and lost one of their last ten, 2.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W W D D. In this competition Al Jazira (UAE) have gone D. Arkadag FK have won ten, drawn none and lost none of their last ten, 3.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W W W. In this competition Arkadag FK have gone W.

The numbers. Al Jazira (UAE) score 1.5 and concede 0.6 a game over their last ten, with seven clean sheets and two games without a goal. Al Jazira (UAE) average 15.8 shots (4.8 on target), 4.2 corners and 1.0 cards a game, with 54% of the ball. Arkadag FK score 3.7 and concede 0.7 a game in their last six away, with four clean sheets. Arkadag FK average 5.9 shots (3.0 on target), 3.4 corners and 2.3 cards a game.

Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 10% against the records' 55%.

The read. No firm call: Arkadag FK are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make Arkadag FK the likelier winners; Arkadag FK are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Arkadag FK. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 56%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Al Jazira (UAE) 1-2 Arkadag FK (10% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

ALJ 8 of 10 (80%) · ARK 6 of 6 (100%)91.2%

Al Jazira (UAE): over 0.5 goals in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Arkadag FK: over 0.5 goals in 6 of 6 away · both last 10: 90%

Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

ALJ 7 of 10 (70%) · ARK 5 of 6 (83%)79.1%

Al Jazira (UAE): over 1.5 goals in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Arkadag FK: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 6 away · both last 10: 75%

HALVES

Over 0.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY

1.17

ALJ 6 of 10 (60%) · ARK 6 of 7 (86%)72.9%

Al Jazira (UAE): the bet landed in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Arkadag FK: the bet landed in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 73% · on half-time scores

Left off the list: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–2 9.5%

Al Jazira (UAE) goals →

Arkadag FK goals ↓

0-07%

1-07%

2-04%

3-02%

4-00.4%

5-00.1%

0-110%

1-112%

2-17%

3-12%

4-10.7%

5-10.2%

0-28%

1-29%

2-25%

3-22%

4-20.6%

5-20.1%

0-35%

1-35%

2-33%

3-31%

4-30.3%

5-30.1%

0-42%

1-42%

2-41%

3-40.4%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.6%

1-50.7%

2-50.4%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).

FORM · LAST 10

AL JAZIRA (UAE)LWWWWDDWWD2.10 PPG

ARKADAG FKWWWWWWWWWW3.00 PPG

THE NUMBERS

AL JAZIRA (UAE) HOMExARKADAG FK AWAY

1.50SCORED A GAME3.300.60CONCEDED A GAME0.5070%CLEAN SHEETS40%0%FAILED TO SCORE4%4.25CORNERS A GAME3.431.00CARDS A GAME2.29

TRENDS

Al Jazira (UAE) have scored in 80% of their games.

Arkadag FK have scored in 60% of their games.

Al Jazira (UAE) kept a clean sheet in 70% of their games.

Arkadag FK kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards