Match details. Premier League. Kick-off is Tue 13 Oct, 18:00 Lagos time.
Form. Township Rollers have won six, drawn one and lost three of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W D L L. Orapa United have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D L D W.
The numbers. Township Rollers score 1.2 and concede 0.9 a game over their last ten, with five clean sheets. Township Rollers average 10.8 shots (4.0 on target), 4.6 corners and 1.8 cards a game. Orapa United score 1.2 and concede 1.3 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets and four games without a goal.
The case against. Orapa United's record still gives them 35% to win.
The read. Township Rollers to win. A tight game. Township Rollers are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Township Rollers. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 35%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Township Rollers or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Township Rollers or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Township Rollers 1-0 Orapa United (12% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).