INTERNATIONAL CLUBS - UEFA EUROPA LEAGUE

JBJAG

20:00Thu 15 Oct

FCA

Jagiellonia Bialystok vs FC Ararat-Armenia

CLASS B

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THE READ

Match details. UEFA Europa League, League Stage - 2. Kick-off is Thu 15 Oct, 20:00 Lagos time. It is played at Stadion Miejski w Białymstoku, Bialystok. The referee is Anastasios Papapetrou.

What's at stake. Jagiellonia Bialystok are 21st on 0 points after 1 game, 1 point behind Hapoel Beer Sheva, level on points with Real Sociedad. A win would take them above Hapoel Beer Sheva. FC Ararat-Armenia are 33rd on 0 points after 1 game, level on points with Marseille, level on points with Plzen. A win would take them above Marseille.

Team news. Jagiellonia Bialystok are without D. Drachal (off the roster), C. Polak (off the roster), N. Prelec (inactive), D. Rallis (off the roster), N. Wojtuszek (inactive), Z. Zalewski (off the roster). N. Prelec is their top scorer. N. Prelec is their main creator. N. Wojtuszek is their centre-back. FC Ararat-Armenia are without P. Ayongo (off the roster), P. Ayongo (off the roster).

Form. Jagiellonia Bialystok have won four, drawn one and lost five of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L L W. FC Ararat-Armenia have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W L W W.

The numbers. Jagiellonia Bialystok score 1.8 and concede 1.7 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet. Jagiellonia Bialystok average 10.6 shots (4.0 on target), 3.0 corners and 1.4 cards a game, with 42% of the ball. FC Ararat-Armenia score 1.5 and concede one a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets. FC Ararat-Armenia average 11.1 shots (4.2 on target), 4.7 corners and 2.1 cards a game, with 41% of the ball.

The case against. FC Ararat-Armenia's record still gives them 50% to win.

The read. Jagiellonia Bialystok or the draw. A draw is live. An open game. FC Ararat-Armenia are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour FC Ararat-Armenia. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 60%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Jagiellonia Bialystok 2-1 FC Ararat-Armenia (8% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

Jagiellonia Bialystok or Over 1.5 GoalsTAKEN DOWNPAGE ONLY

no price yet

JAG 10 of 10 (100%) · FCA 8 of 10 (80%)95%

Jagiellonia Bialystok: the bet landed in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · FC Ararat-Armenia: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90% · each game weighed by who it was against · Jagiellonia Bialystok without N. Prelec, N. Prelec, N. Wojtuszek (rule 3)

GOALS

Over 1.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.18

JAG 10 of 10 (100%) · FCA 8 of 10 (80%)82.5%

Jagiellonia Bialystok: over 1.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · FC Ararat-Armenia: over 1.5 goals in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90% · each game weighed by who it was against

JAGIELLONIA BIALYSTOK GOALS

Jagiellonia Bialystok Over 0.5 goalsTAKEN DOWNPAGE ONLY

1.09

JAG 9 of 10 (90%) · FCA 6 of 10 (60%)81.3%

Jagiellonia Bialystok scored in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · FC Ararat-Armenia conceded in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · each game weighed by who it was against · Jagiellonia Bialystok without N. Prelec, N. Prelec, N. Wojtuszek (rule 3)

HALVES

2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5PAGE ONLY

1.19

JAG 10 of 10 (100%) · FCA 7 of 10 (70%)85%

Jagiellonia Bialystok: the bet landed in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · FC Ararat-Armenia: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85% · on half-time scores · each game weighed by who it was against

Over 0.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY

1.29

JAG 9 of 10 (90%) · FCA 7 of 10 (70%)80.1%

Jagiellonia Bialystok: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · FC Ararat-Armenia: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · on half-time scores · each game weighed by who it was against

CARDS

Over 2.5 CardsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

JAG 6 of 10 (60%) · FCA 9 of 10 (90%)75.4%

Jagiellonia Bialystok's games: over 2.5 cards in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · FC Ararat-Armenia's games: over 2.5 cards in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · each game weighed by who it was against

Left off the list: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 2–1 7.5%

Jagiellonia Bialystok goals →

FC Ararat-Armenia goals ↓

0-06%

1-06%

2-05%

3-02%

4-00.7%

5-00.2%

0-17%

1-112%

2-18%

3-13%

4-11%

5-10.3%

0-27%

1-29%

2-26%

3-23%

4-21.0%

5-20.3%

0-34%

1-35%

2-33%

3-32%

4-30.5%

5-30.1%

0-42%

1-42%

2-41%

3-40.6%

4-40.2%

5-40.1%

0-50.5%

1-50.7%

2-50.5%

3-50.2%

4-50.1%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).

FORM · LAST 10

JAGIELLONIA BIALYSTOKDWWWLWLLLL1.30 PPG

FC ARARAT-ARMENIAWDDWLWWLWD1.80 PPG

THE NUMBERS

JAGIELLONIA BIALYSTOK HOMExFC ARARAT-ARMENIA AWAY

1.80SCORED A GAME1.501.70CONCEDED A GAME1.0010%CLEAN SHEETS40%0%FAILED TO SCORE0%3.00CORNERS A GAME4.701.40CARDS A GAME2.10

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

1.12POINTS A GAME2.12-0.50GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.88-2.3SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+3.00.6LAST 5: POINTS A GAME2.08LEAGUE GAMES8

FC Ararat-Armenia: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference, more shots than it allows, better form (last 5).

FC ARARAT-ARMENIA 0:2 HANDICAP

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373 OF 433

NO PRICE YET

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

90%

VERY GOOD · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

57%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

86%

OKAY · 85/90

JAGIELLONIA BIALYSTOK OR DRAW

32%

NO · 80/85

FC ARARAT-ARMENIA OR DRAW

68%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (8 and 8 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

JAGIELLONIA BIALYSTOKxFC ARARAT-ARMENIA

5GAMES51.00SCORED A GAME1.802.20CONCEDED A GAME0.803.2GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.6100%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%80%OVER 2.5 GOALS60%80%BOTH SCORE60%2.6CARDS IN THEIR GAMES–9.0CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

TEAM NEWS

JAGIELLONIA BIALYSTOK

Out: D. Drachal (Off the roster), C. Polak (Off the roster), N. Prelec (Inactive), D. Rallis (Off the roster), N. Wojtuszek (Inactive), Z. Zalewski (Off the roster)

FC ARARAT-ARMENIA

Out: P. Ayongo (Off the roster), P. Ayongo (Off the roster)

TRENDS

Jagiellonia Bialystok have scored in 90% of their games.

FC Ararat-Armenia have scored in 100% of their games.

Jagiellonia Bialystok kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.

FC Ararat-Armenia kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tableteam newscornerscards