INTERNATIONAL CLUBS - UEFA EUROPA LEAGUE

GDGNK

20:00Thu 15 Oct

RSC

GNK Dinamo Zagreb vs RSC Anderlecht

CLASS A

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THE READ

Match details. UEFA Europa League, League Stage - 2. Kick-off is Thu 15 Oct, 20:00 Lagos time. It is played at Stadion Maksimir, Zagreb, a neutral ground. The referee is Orel Grinfeld.

What's at stake. GNK Dinamo Zagreb are 19th on 1 point after 1 game, level on points with Rennes, level on points with Hapoel Beer Sheva. A win would take them above Rennes. RSC Anderlecht are 23rd on 0 points after 1 game, level on points with Real Sociedad, level on points with Lillestrom. A win would take them above Real Sociedad.

Team news. GNK Dinamo Zagreb are without R. Mudrazija (off the roster), I. Nevistic (off the roster), N. Nsoki (off the roster), A. Stojakovic (foot injury), P. Tabinas (off the roster), F. Topic (off the roster). S. McKenna is their centre-back. RSC Anderlecht are without G. Biancone (hamstring injury), I. Camara (foot injury), L. Hey (broken leg), I. Koutsoupias (off the roster), K. Sardella (thigh injury), G. Biancone (hamstring injury).

Form. GNK Dinamo Zagreb have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W D L. In this competition GNK Dinamo Zagreb have gone D. RSC Anderlecht have won six, drawn one and lost three of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L W D.

The numbers. GNK Dinamo Zagreb score 2.1 and concede 1.4 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets. GNK Dinamo Zagreb average 15.2 shots (4.2 on target), 5.5 corners and 2.2 cards a game, with 56% of the ball. RSC Anderlecht score 1.4 and concede 0.7 a game over their last ten, with six clean sheets and three games without a goal. RSC Anderlecht average 11.8 shots (5.6 on target), 6.5 corners and 2.1 cards a game, with 54% of the ball.

Head to head. In the last two meetings GNK Dinamo Zagreb have won one, drawn one and lost none. None of the two went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in none. The last time they met, on 13 Dec 2018, it finished GNK Dinamo Zagreb 0-0 RSC Anderlecht: GNK Dinamo Zagreb had 7 shots to 9, 38% of the ball, four yellow cards.

The read. No side to back. An open game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 70%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: GNK Dinamo Zagreb 1-2 RSC Anderlecht (9% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

HALVES

Over 0.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY

1.37

GNK 9 of 10 (90%) · RSC 9 of 10 (90%)90%

GNK Dinamo Zagreb: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · RSC Anderlecht: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90% · on half-time scores

CARDS

Over 2.5 CardsIN CODES

1.19

GNK 5 of 6 (83%) · RSC 8 of 10 (80%)81.7%

GNK Dinamo Zagreb's games: over 2.5 cards in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · RSC Anderlecht's games: over 2.5 cards in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 82%

Left off the list: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–2 8.6%

GNK Dinamo Zagreb goals →

RSC Anderlecht goals ↓

0-07%

1-08%

2-06%

3-02%

4-00.8%

5-00.2%

0-19%

1-113%

2-18%

3-13%

4-11%

5-10.3%

0-27%

1-29%

2-26%

3-22%

4-20.8%

5-20.2%

0-33%

1-34%

2-33%

3-31%

4-30.4%

5-30.1%

0-41%

1-41%

2-40.9%

3-40.4%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.3%

1-50.4%

2-50.3%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).

FORM · LAST 10

GNK DINAMO ZAGREBWLDWWLDWWL1.70 PPG

RSC ANDERLECHTLWWLWDWLWW1.90 PPG

THE NUMBERS

GNK DINAMO ZAGREB HOMExRSC ANDERLECHT AWAY

2.10SCORED A GAME1.401.40CONCEDED A GAME0.7040%CLEAN SHEETS60%0%FAILED TO SCORE0%5.50CORNERS A GAME6.502.17CARDS A GAME2.10

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

1.67POINTS A GAME1.86+0.50GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.29+3.3SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+1.71.4LAST 5: POINTS A GAME2.66LEAGUE GAMES7

RSC Anderlecht: the quality side - better form (last 5).

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

87%

VERY GOOD · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

83%

VERY GOOD · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

94%

VERY GOOD · 85/90

GNK DINAMO ZAGREB OR DRAW

78%

NO · 80/85

RSC ANDERLECHT OR DRAW

28%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (6 and 7 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

GNK DINAMO ZAGREBxRSC ANDERLECHT

5GAMES51.80SCORED A GAME1.402.00CONCEDED A GAME0.203.8GOALS IN THEIR GAMES1.680%OVER 1.5 GOALS40%80%OVER 2.5 GOALS40%80%BOTH SCORE20%5.0CARDS IN THEIR GAMES3.69.0CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES9.8

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 2

GNK DINAMO ZAGREB 1 · 50%DRAW 1RSC ANDERLECHT 0 · 0%

2018-10-04GNK Dinamo Zagreb 2 – 0 RSC Anderlecht

2018-12-13GNK Dinamo Zagreb 0 – 0 RSC Anderlecht

TEAM NEWS

GNK DINAMO ZAGREB

Out: R. Mudrazija (Off the roster), I. Nevistic (Off the roster), N. Nsoki (Off the roster), A. Stojakovic (Foot Injury), P. Tabinas (Off the roster), F. Topic (Off the roster)

RSC ANDERLECHT

Out: G. Biancone (Hamstring Injury), I. Camara (Foot Injury), L. Hey (Broken Leg), I. Koutsoupias (Off the roster), K. Sardella (Thigh Injury), G. Biancone (Hamstring Injury)

TRENDS

GNK Dinamo Zagreb have scored in 90% of their games.

RSC Anderlecht have scored in 70% of their games.

GNK Dinamo Zagreb kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.

RSC Anderlecht kept a clean sheet in 60% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstxG & xGAclean sheetshead to headleague tableteam newscornerscards