Match details. UEFA Europa League, League Stage - 2. Kick-off is Thu 15 Oct, 20:00 Lagos time. It is played at Municipal de Balaídos, Vigo. The referee is Sander van der Eijk.
What's at stake. Celta are 25th on 0 points after 1 game, level on points with Lillestrom, level on points with AZ Alkmaar. A win would take them above Lillestrom. Juventus are 1st on 3 points after 1 game, level on points with Crystal Palace.
Team news. Celta are without P. Duran (calf injury), J. El Abdellaoui (knee injury), B. Iglesias (muscle injury), M. Roman (knee injury), C. Starfelt (injury), P. Duran (calf injury). Juventus are without J. Boga (muscle injury), A. Durmisi (red card), J. Ekhator (muscle injury), K. Grabara (knee injury), M. Locatelli (knee injury), A. Milik (inactive).
Form. Celta have won two, drawn five and lost three of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W L D D. In this competition Celta have gone L. Juventus have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W W L D. In this competition Juventus have gone W.
The numbers. Celta score 1.6 and concede one a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. Celta average 11.4 shots (3.5 on target), 4.4 corners and 1.9 cards a game, with 50% of the ball. Juventus score 1.4 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets. Juventus average 17.2 shots (6.2 on target), 7.2 corners and 1.5 cards a game, with 57% of the ball.
The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 35%.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.26, 77% on the records (Celta: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home; Juventus: under 3.5 goals in 3 of 5 away). Backup: Under 4.5 Goals at 1.09. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Juventus or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Juventus or Draw (1UP) (no result call); Double Chance: Draw or Juventus (no result call). Predicted score: Celta 1-1 Juventus (14% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).