BG Pathum United vs Adelaide United FC
Match details. AFC Champions League Two, Group Stage - 2. Kick-off is Thu 15 Oct, 13:15 Lagos time. It is played at True BG Stadium, Patum Thani.
What's at stake. BG Pathum United are 3rd on 1 point after 1 game, level on points with Home United, 1 point clear of Wofoo Tai Po. A win would take them above Home United. Adelaide United FC are 1st on 3 points after 1 game, 2 points clear of Home United.
Form. BG Pathum United have won three, drawn five and lost two of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L D W D. In this competition BG Pathum United have gone D. Adelaide United FC have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L L D. In this competition Adelaide United FC have gone W.
The numbers. BG Pathum United score 1.6 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. BG Pathum United average 13.0 shots (3.2 on target), 3.8 corners and 2.5 cards a game, with 56% of the ball. Adelaide United FC score 1.8 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets. Adelaide United FC average 15.4 shots (5.4 on target), 8.0 corners and 2.6 cards a game, with 55% of the ball.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 48%.
The read. No side to back. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side.
The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Predicted score: BG Pathum United 1-1 Adelaide United FC (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).