CECEN

20:00Thu 15 Oct

DAN

Central Espanol FC vs Danubio FC

CLASS D

THE READ

Match details. Copa Uruguay, Round of 16. Kick-off is Thu 15 Oct, 20:00 Lagos time. It is played at Parque Palermo, Montevideo.

What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.

Form. Central Espanol FC have won two, drawn three and lost five of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L L D. Danubio FC have won two, drawn three and lost five of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L D D.

The numbers. Central Espanol FC score 1.2 and concede 1.5 a game in their last six at home, with one clean sheet. Central Espanol FC average 8.4 shots (3.8 on target), 5.7 corners and 2.9 cards a game. Danubio FC score 0.2 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets and four games without a goal. Danubio FC average 8.4 shots (2.9 on target), 5.0 corners and 2.4 cards a game.

Head to head. In the last five meetings Central Espanol FC have won two, drawn three and lost none. One of the five went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in two. In the last four, Central Espanol FC won one and three were drawn. The last time they met, on 12 Apr 2026, it finished Central Espanol FC 2-2 Danubio FC.

The case against. Central Espanol FC's record still gives them 31% to win.

The read. Danubio FC or the draw. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 37%. Four of the last five meetings went under 2.5.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Danubio FC or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Danubio FC Over 0.5 goals (Danubio FC's own games don't back it (3 of 7)); Danubio FC 1UP (the signs point different ways). Predicted score: Central Espanol FC 1-1 Danubio FC (13% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

Danubio FC or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

CEN 6 of 7 (86%) · DAN 7 of 7 (100%)90.9%

Danubio FC: the bet landed in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Central Espanol FC: the bet landed in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 93% · H2H 4 of 5 · Danubio FC: only games against sides at Central Espanol FC's level · Central Espanol FC: only games against sides at Danubio FC's level

Danubio FC or Draw (1UP)LEANPAGE ONLY

1.32

CEN 3 of 5 (60%) · DAN 3 of 7 (43%)67.6%

Danubio FC scored first 2 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 3 · led or was unbeaten in 3 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Central Espanol FC trailed or failed to win in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Danubio FC: only games against sides at Central Espanol FC's level · Central Espanol FC: only games against sides at Danubio FC's level

GOALS

Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

CEN 7 of 7 (100%) · DAN 7 of 7 (100%)96.4%

Central Espanol FC: under 5.5 goals in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Danubio FC: under 5.5 goals in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · H2H 5 of 5 · Central Espanol FC: only games against sides at Danubio FC's level · Danubio FC: only games against sides at Central Espanol FC's level

Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

CEN 6 of 7 (86%) · DAN 7 of 7 (100%)90.6%

Central Espanol FC: under 4.5 goals in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Danubio FC: under 4.5 goals in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 93% · H2H 5 of 5 · Central Espanol FC: only games against sides at Danubio FC's level · Danubio FC: only games against sides at Central Espanol FC's level

HALVES

1st Half Under 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

CEN 5 of 7 (71%) · DAN 6 of 7 (86%)78.9%

Central Espanol FC: the bet landed in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Danubio FC: the bet landed in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 79% · H2H 4 of 5 · on half-time scores · Central Espanol FC: only games against sides at Danubio FC's level · Danubio FC: only games against sides at Central Espanol FC's level

CARDS

Over 3.5 CardsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

CEN 6 of 7 (86%) · DAN 4 of 7 (57%)71.4%

Central Espanol FC's games: over 3.5 cards in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Danubio FC's games: over 3.5 cards in 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 71% · Central Espanol FC: only games against sides at Danubio FC's level · Danubio FC: only games against sides at Central Espanol FC's level

Left off the list: Danubio FC or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Danubio FC Over 0.5 goals (Danubio FC's own games don't back it (3 of 7)); Danubio FC 1UP (the numbers (45%) and the records (51%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–1 13.4%

Central Espanol FC goals →

Danubio FC goals ↓

0-09%

1-011%

2-08%

3-04%

4-01%

5-00.4%

0-18%

1-113%

2-19%

3-14%

4-11%

5-10.4%

0-25%

1-27%

2-25%

3-22%

4-20.8%

5-20.2%

0-32%

1-32%

2-32%

3-30.8%

4-30.3%

5-30.1%

0-40.5%

1-40.7%

2-40.5%

3-40.2%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.1%

1-50.1%

2-50.1%

3-50.0%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10

CENTRAL ESPANOL FCLWDWDDLLLL0.90 PPG

DANUBIO FCWLLLDDDLWL0.90 PPG

THE NUMBERS

CENTRAL ESPANOL FC HOMExDANUBIO FC AWAY

1.10SCORED A GAME0.801.70CONCEDED A GAME1.5020%CLEAN SHEETS0%0%FAILED TO SCORE33%5.70CORNERS A GAME5.002.90CARDS A GAME2.40

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

0.29POINTS A GAME0.70-1.57GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.70–SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+0.20.4LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.07LEAGUE GAMES10

Danubio FC: the quality side - a better goal difference.

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

55%

NO · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

43%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

96%

VERY GOOD · 85/90

CENTRAL ESPANOL FC OR DRAW

74%

NO · 80/85

DANUBIO FC OR DRAW

68%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (7 and 10 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

CENTRAL ESPANOL FCxDANUBIO FC

5GAMES50.60SCORED A GAME0.802.00CONCEDED A GAME1.002.6GOALS IN THEIR GAMES1.880%OVER 1.5 GOALS60%60%OVER 2.5 GOALS20%60%BOTH SCORE60%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 5

CENTRAL ESPANOL FC 2 · 40%DRAW 3DANUBIO FC 0 · 0%

2 of 5BOTH TEAMS SCORED

3 of 5OVER 1.5 GOALS

1 of 5OVER 2.5 GOALS

1 of 5OVER 3.5 GOALS

2012-11-10Central Espanol FC 1 – 0 Danubio FC

2013-05-04Central Espanol FC 2 – 0 Danubio FC

2021-06-02Central Espanol FC 0 – 0 Danubio FC

2021-09-15Central Espanol FC 1 – 1 Danubio FC

2026-04-12Central Espanol FC 2 – 2 Danubio FC

TRENDS

Central Espanol FC have scored in 60% of their games.

Danubio FC have scored in 50% of their games.

Central Espanol FC kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

Danubio FC kept a clean sheet in 0% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetshead to headleague tablecornerscards