Aris Limassol vs Ethnikos Achnas FC

Match details. Cy2. Kick-off is Wed 14 Oct, 17:00 Lagos time.

Form. Aris Limassol have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W L D. Ethnikos Achnas FC have won six, drawn one and lost three of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W L W.

The numbers. Aris Limassol score 1.4 and concede two a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. Aris Limassol average 12.8 shots (6.4 on target), 5.3 corners and 3.1 cards a game, with 52% of the ball. Ethnikos Achnas FC score 2.3 and concede 1.3 a game in their last six away, with one clean sheet. Ethnikos Achnas FC average 11.0 shots (4.3 on target), 4.1 corners and 1.8 cards a game, with 54% of the ball.

Head to head. In the last ten meetings Aris Limassol have won nine, drawn none and lost one. Nine of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in six. In the last four, Aris Limassol won four.

Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: their goals for and against make Ethnikos Achnas FC the likelier winners, but Ethnikos Achnas FC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Aris Limassol; the meetings favour Aris Limassol.

The case against. Aris Limassol's record still gives them 50% to win. The meetings do not back them.

The read. Ethnikos Achnas FC or the draw. An open game. Their goals for and against make Ethnikos Achnas FC the likelier winners; Ethnikos Achnas FC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Aris Limassol; the meetings favour Aris Limassol. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 69%. Nine of the last ten meetings went over 2.5.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Aris Limassol 1-2 Ethnikos Achnas FC (9% chance).