Match details. Championship, Regular Season - 11. Kick-off is Sat 17 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time. It is played at St. Mary's Stadium, Southampton. The referee is Matt Donohue.
What's at stake. Southampton are 7th on 16 points after 10 games, 1 point behind West Brom, level on points with Stoke City. A win would take them above West Brom. Bolton Wanderers are 14th on 13 points after 10 games, 1 point behind Charlton, 1 point clear of Sheffield Utd. A win would take them above Charlton.
Team news. Bolton Wanderers are without C. Forino-Joseph (groin injury), C. Forino-Joseph (groin injury).
Form. Southampton have won six, drawn two and lost two of their last ten, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L W W. Bolton Wanderers have won four, drawn one and lost five of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W W L.
The numbers. Southampton score 2.8 and concede 1.3 a game in their last six at home, with one clean sheet. Southampton average 14.8 shots (4.8 on target), 5.0 corners and 1.9 cards a game, with 56% of the ball. Bolton Wanderers score 1.8 and concede 2.2 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Bolton Wanderers average 15.1 shots (5.4 on target), 5.6 corners and 1.6 cards a game, with 52% of the ball.
The case against. Bolton Wanderers's record still gives them 22% to win.
The read. Southampton to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make Southampton the likelier winners; Southampton are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Southampton. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 74%.
The bets. Best bet: Southampton 1UP at 1.24, 87% on the records (Southampton scored first 4 of last 5, led in 5; led in 5 of 5 at home). Leave: 2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 1.5 (the signs point different ways); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Southampton or draw and over 2.5 goals (the signs point different ways). Predicted score: Southampton 2-1 Bolton Wanderers (10% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Southampton or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
SOU 5 of 5 (100%) · BOL 4 of 5 (80%)95%
Southampton: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · Bolton Wanderers: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 90% · Southampton: only games against sides at Bolton Wanderers's level · Bolton Wanderers: only games against sides at Southampton's level
Southampton or Draw (1UP)IN CODES
1.10
SOU 5 of 5 (100%) · BOL 5 of 5 (100%)92.4%
Southampton scored first 4 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 5 · led or was unbeaten in 5 of 5 at home · Bolton Wanderers trailed or failed to win in 4 of 5 away · Southampton: only games against sides at Bolton Wanderers's level · Bolton Wanderers: only games against sides at Southampton's level
Southampton (Draw No Bet)IN CODES
1.21
SOU 5 of 5 (100%) · BOL 5 of 9 (56%)90.7%
Southampton won 5 of 5 at home (draws left out) · Bolton Wanderers lost 5 of 9 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · both last 10: 71% · Southampton: only games against sides at Bolton Wanderers's level · Bolton Wanderers: only games against sides at Southampton's level · won 7, refunded 1, lost 3
Double Chance: Southampton or DrawIN CODES
1.15
SOU 5 of 5 (100%) · BOL 3 of 5 (60%)88.4%
Southampton unbeaten in 5 of 5 at home · Bolton Wanderers failed to win 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 74% · Southampton: only games against sides at Bolton Wanderers's level · Bolton Wanderers: only games against sides at Southampton's level
Southampton 1UPMAININ CODES
1.24
SOU 5 of 5 (100%) · BOL 5 of 5 (100%)86.7%
Southampton scored first 4 of last 5, led in 5 · led in 5 of 5 at home · Bolton Wanderers trailed in 3 of 5 away · Southampton: only games against sides at Bolton Wanderers's level · Bolton Wanderers: only games against sides at Southampton's level
Southampton or Over 2.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.15
SOU 5 of 5 (100%) · BOL 4 of 5 (80%)80.7%
Southampton: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · Bolton Wanderers: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 79% · Southampton: only games against sides at Bolton Wanderers's level · Bolton Wanderers: only games against sides at Southampton's level
Southampton or Draw & Over 1.5PAGE ONLY
1.28
SOU 4 of 5 (80%) · BOL 2 of 5 (40%)78.9%
Southampton: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Bolton Wanderers: the bet landed in 2 of 5 away · both last 10: 53% · Southampton: only games against sides at Bolton Wanderers's level · Bolton Wanderers: only games against sides at Southampton's level
Southampton to Win Either Half: YesLEANPAGE ONLY
1.24
SOU 5 of 5 (100%) · BOL 2 of 5 (40%)69%
Southampton: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · Bolton Wanderers: the bet landed in 2 of 5 away · both last 10: 74% · on half-time scores · Southampton: only games against sides at Bolton Wanderers's level · Bolton Wanderers: only games against sides at Southampton's level
1X2 - 2UP: SouthamptonLEANPAGE ONLY
1.44
SOU 5 of 5 (100%) · BOL 5 of 5 (100%)69%
Southampton scored first 4 of last 5, led by 2 or won in 5 · led by 2 or won in 5 of 5 at home · Bolton Wanderers trailed by 2 or lost in 2 of 5 away · Southampton: only games against sides at Bolton Wanderers's level · Bolton Wanderers: only games against sides at Southampton's level
GOALS
Over 1.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.14
SOU 4 of 5 (80%) · BOL 4 of 5 (80%)89.8%
Southampton: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · Bolton Wanderers: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 74% · Southampton: only games against sides at Bolton Wanderers's level · Bolton Wanderers: only games against sides at Southampton's level
Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.45
SOU 4 of 5 (80%) · BOL 4 of 5 (80%)65.6%
Southampton: over 2.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · Bolton Wanderers: over 2.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 63% · Southampton: only games against sides at Bolton Wanderers's level · Bolton Wanderers: only games against sides at Southampton's level
BOLTON WANDERERS GOALS
Bolton Wanderers Over 0.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.51
SOU 3 of 5 (60%) · BOL 4 of 5 (80%)54.3%
Bolton Wanderers scored in 3 of 5 away · Southampton conceded in 4 of 5 at home · both last 10: 74% · Bolton Wanderers: only games against sides at Southampton's level · Southampton: only games against sides at Bolton Wanderers's level
HALVES
Over 0.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY
1.23
SOU 5 of 5 (100%) · BOL 4 of 5 (80%)86.5%
Southampton: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · Bolton Wanderers: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 79% · on half-time scores · Southampton: only games against sides at Bolton Wanderers's level · Bolton Wanderers: only games against sides at Southampton's level
2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5PAGE ONLY
1.15
SOU 4 of 5 (80%) · BOL 4 of 5 (80%)83.1%
Southampton: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Bolton Wanderers: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 89% · on half-time scores · Southampton: only games against sides at Bolton Wanderers's level · Bolton Wanderers: only games against sides at Southampton's level
2nd Half - Southampton Over/Under: Over 0.5PAGE ONLY
1.33
SOU 4 of 5 (80%) · BOL 4 of 5 (80%)77.8%
Southampton: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Bolton Wanderers: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 73% · on half-time scores · Southampton: only games against sides at Bolton Wanderers's level · Bolton Wanderers: only games against sides at Southampton's level
Left off the list: 2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 1.5 (the numbers (49%) and the records (71%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Southampton or draw and over 2.5 goals (the numbers (48%) and the records (54%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 2–19.9%
Southampton goals →
Bolton Wanderers goals ↓
0-06%
1-010%
2-011%
3-08%
4-04%
5-02%
0-14%
1-110%
2-110%
3-17%
4-13%
5-11%
0-22%
1-24%
2-24%
3-23%
4-22%
5-20.6%
0-30.6%
1-31%
2-31%
3-30.9%
4-30.4%
5-30.2%
0-40.1%
1-40.3%
2-40.3%
3-40.2%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.0%
1-50.0%
2-50.0%
3-50.0%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).
FORM · LAST 10
SOUTHAMPTONWWLWWDDWLW2.00 PPG
BOLTON WANDERERSWLWWLLLLDW1.30 PPG
THE NUMBERS
SOUTHAMPTON HOMExBOLTON WANDERERS AWAY
2.10SCORED A GAME1.501.00CONCEDED A GAME1.8020%CLEAN SHEETS20%0%FAILED TO SCORE30%5.00CORNERS A GAME5.601.88CARDS A GAME1.621.77xG1.581.41xG AGAINST1.74
THE BANK
THE QUALITY READ
2.00POINTS A GAME1.30+1.10GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.30+0.1SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+0.62.4LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.810LEAGUE GAMES10
Southampton: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
74%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
66%
OKAY · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
66%
NO · 85/90
SOUTHAMPTON OR DRAW
83%
OKAY · 80/85
BOLTON WANDERERS OR DRAW
27%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (10 and 10 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
SOUTHAMPTONxBOLTON WANDERERS
5GAMES53.20SCORED A GAME1.800.80CONCEDED A GAME2.204.0GOALS IN THEIR GAMES4.080%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%80%OVER 2.5 GOALS80%80%BOTH SCORE60%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TEAM NEWS
BOLTON WANDERERS
Out: C. Forino-Joseph (Groin Injury), C. Forino-Joseph (Groin Injury)
TRENDS
Southampton have scored in 100% of their games.
Bolton Wanderers have scored in 60% of their games.
Southampton kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.
Bolton Wanderers kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstxG & xGAclean sheetsleague tableteam newscornerscards