Norwich vs Portsmouth FC
Match details. Championship, Regular Season - 11. Kick-off is Sat 17 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time. It is played at Carrow Road, Norwich. The referee is Gavin Ward.
What's at stake. Norwich are 20th on 9 points after 10 games, 1 point behind Cardiff, 1 point clear of Burnley. A win would take them above Cardiff. Portsmouth FC are 16th on 11 points after 9 games, 1 point behind Sheffield Utd, level on points with Wrexham. A win would take them above Sheffield Utd.
Team news. Norwich are without A. Ahmed (knee injury), P. A. Diallo (injury), K. McLean (injury), M. Topic (knee injury), M. Toure (shoulder injury), A. Ahmed (knee injury). Portsmouth FC are without L. Brooke-Smith (ankle injury), M. Kosznovszky (knee injury), J. Murphy (groin injury), C. Ogilvie (knee injury), C. Shaughnessy (injury), F. Umeh (hamstring injury).
Form. Norwich have won four, drawn none and lost six of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L L L. Portsmouth FC have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L D D W.
The numbers. Norwich score 1.8 and concede 2.1 a game over their last ten, with no clean sheets and three games without a goal. Norwich average 14.5 shots (5.5 on target), 4.5 corners and 2.4 cards a game, with 52% of the ball. Portsmouth FC score one and concede 1.4 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Portsmouth FC average 12.5 shots (4.4 on target), 7.0 corners and 1.3 cards a game, with 55% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last five meetings Norwich have won one, drawn two and lost two. Two of the five went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in three. In the last four, Norwich won one, two were drawn and Portsmouth FC won one. The last time they met, on 3 Apr 2026, it finished Norwich 1-1 Portsmouth FC: Norwich had 6 shots to 5, 58% of the ball, eight yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: their goals for and against make Norwich the likelier winners, but Portsmouth FC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Portsmouth FC. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 59%; three of the last five meetings went under 2.5.
The case against. Portsmouth FC's record still gives them 46% to win. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to an open game. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 59%.
The read. Norwich or the draw. A draw is live. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Norwich the likelier winners; Portsmouth FC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Portsmouth FC. Three of the last five meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.45, 70% on the records (Norwich: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 8; Portsmouth FC: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 9). Backup: Under 4.5 Goals at 1.21. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Norwich 1-1 Portsmouth FC (12% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).