Match details. Serie B, Regular Season - 7. Kick-off is Sat 17 Oct, 14:00 Lagos time. It is played at Stadio Comunale Euganeo, Padua. The referee is Dario Madonia.
What's at stake. Calcio Padova are 11th on 7 points after 6 games, level on points with Cesena, level on points with Arezzo. A win would take them above Cesena. Virtus Entella are 14th on 6 points after 6 games, level on points with Empoli, level on points with Cremonese. A win would take them above Empoli.
Form. Calcio Padova have won four, drawn one and lost five of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W L D. Virtus Entella have won three, drawn four and lost three of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D W D L.
The numbers. Calcio Padova score one and concede 1.3 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and three games without a goal. Calcio Padova average 8.3 shots (2.8 on target), 4.6 corners and 2.5 cards a game, with 44% of the ball. Virtus Entella score 1.2 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and three games without a goal. Virtus Entella average 12.8 shots (4.7 on target), 4.6 corners and 2.0 cards a game, with 52% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last three meetings Calcio Padova have won one, drawn none and lost two. One of the three went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in one. The last time they met, on 25 Apr 2026, it finished Calcio Padova 0-1 Virtus Entella: Calcio Padova had 8 shots to 14, 42% of the ball, four yellow cards.
The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 38%. Two of the last three meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.24, 73% on the records (Calcio Padova: under 3.5 goals in 7 of 9; Virtus Entella: under 3.5 goals in 7 of 9). Backup: Virtus Entella Over 0.5 Goals at 1.40. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Over 3.5 Cards (the signs point different ways); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Calcio Padova 1-1 Virtus Entella (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).