Match details. Championship, Regular Season - 11. Kick-off is Sat 17 Oct, 12:30 Lagos time. It is played at Riverside Stadium, Middlesbrough. The referee is Tom Nield.
What's at stake. Middlesbrough FC are 2nd on 21 points after 10 games, 2 points behind Swansea, 2 points clear of West Ham. A win would take them above Swansea. Cardiff City are 19th on 10 points after 10 games, 1 point behind Lincoln, 1 point clear of Norwich. A win would take them above Lincoln.
Team news. Middlesbrough FC are without A. Jones (calf injury), R. Pukstas (inactive), D. Strelec (inactive), A. Jones (calf injury), R. Pukstas (inactive), D. Strelec (inactive). Cardiff City are without K. Bielik (suspended), C. Chambers (knee injury), R. Colwill (health problems), Y. Salech (inactive), K. Bielik (suspended), C. Chambers (knee injury).
Form. Middlesbrough FC have won six, drawn three and lost one of their last ten, 2.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W D D W. Cardiff City have won two, drawn three and lost five of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W L D.
The numbers. Middlesbrough FC score two and concede 1.5 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets. Middlesbrough FC average 16.1 shots (5.8 on target), 5.3 corners and 1.4 cards a game, with 56% of the ball. Cardiff City score 0.8 and concede 1.8 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal. Cardiff City average 19.5 shots (6.8 on target), 7.5 corners and 2.1 cards a game, with 63% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Middlesbrough FC have won six, drawn three and lost one. Three of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in six. In the last four, Middlesbrough FC won three and one was drawn. The last time they met, on 4 Jan 2025, it finished Middlesbrough FC 1-1 Cardiff City: Middlesbrough FC had 9 shots to 8, 75% of the ball, five yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 59%; seven of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.
The case against. Not everything agrees on goals: seven of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.
The read. Middlesbrough FC to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make Middlesbrough FC the likelier winners; Middlesbrough FC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Middlesbrough FC; the meetings favour Middlesbrough FC. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 59%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Cardiff City Under 1.5 goals (Middlesbrough FC's own games don't back it (4 of 8)); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Middlesbrough FC 2-1 Cardiff City (10% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Middlesbrough FC or Draw (1UP)IN CODES
1.11
MID 5 of 5 (100%) · CAR 8 of 8 (100%)100%
Middlesbrough FC scored first 3 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 5 · led or was unbeaten in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Cardiff City trailed or failed to win in 5 of 5 away · Middlesbrough FC: only games against sides at Cardiff City's level · Cardiff City: only games against sides at Middlesbrough FC's level
Middlesbrough FC or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
MID 8 of 8 (100%) · CAR 5 of 5 (100%)100%
Middlesbrough FC: the bet landed in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Cardiff City: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 100% · H2H 6 of 6 · Middlesbrough FC: only games against sides at Cardiff City's level · Cardiff City: only games against sides at Middlesbrough FC's level
Middlesbrough FC to Win Either Half: YesSETTLEDPAGE ONLY
1.26
MID 8 of 8 (100%) · CAR 5 of 5 (100%)91.7%
Middlesbrough FC: the bet landed in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Cardiff City: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 83% · H2H 5 of 6 · on half-time scores · Middlesbrough FC: only games against sides at Cardiff City's level · Cardiff City: only games against sides at Middlesbrough FC's level · rule 2: the meetings back Middlesbrough FC: in the last 10 meetings, Middlesbrough FC won 6, C
Double Chance: Middlesbrough FC or DrawIN CODES
1.16
MID 8 of 8 (100%) · CAR 5 of 5 (100%)90.4%
Middlesbrough FC unbeaten in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Cardiff City failed to win 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 89% · H2H 5 of 6 · Middlesbrough FC: only games against sides at Cardiff City's level · Cardiff City: only games against sides at Middlesbrough FC's level
Middlesbrough FC (Draw No Bet)IN CODES
1.22
MID 5 of 5 (100%) · CAR 4 of 6 (67%)87.5%
Middlesbrough FC won 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · Cardiff City lost 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · both last 10: 83% · H2H 4 of 5 · Middlesbrough FC: only games against sides at Cardiff City's level · Cardiff City: only games against sides at Middlesbrough FC's level · won 7, refunded 2, lost 0
Middlesbrough FC 1UPIN CODES
1.23
MID 4 of 5 (80%) · CAR 7 of 8 (88%)82.5%
Middlesbrough FC scored first 3 of last 5, led in 4 · led in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Cardiff City trailed in 4 of 5 away · Middlesbrough FC: only games against sides at Cardiff City's level · Cardiff City: only games against sides at Middlesbrough FC's level
Middlesbrough FC or Draw & Over 1.5IN CODES
1.26
MID 6 of 8 (75%) · CAR 4 of 5 (80%)82.4%
Middlesbrough FC: the bet landed in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Cardiff City: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 71% · H2H 5 of 6 · Middlesbrough FC: only games against sides at Cardiff City's level · Cardiff City: only games against sides at Middlesbrough FC's level
1st Half Result or Match Result: Middlesbrough FCPAGE ONLY
1.31
MID 7 of 8 (88%) · CAR 4 of 5 (80%)76.4%
Middlesbrough FC: the bet landed in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Cardiff City: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 72% · H2H 4 of 6 · on half-time scores · Middlesbrough FC: only games against sides at Cardiff City's level · Cardiff City: only games against sides at Middlesbrough FC's level
Middlesbrough FC or Over 2.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.15
MID 7 of 8 (88%) · CAR 5 of 5 (100%)76.2%
Middlesbrough FC: the bet landed in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Cardiff City: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 88% · H2H 5 of 6 · Middlesbrough FC: only games against sides at Cardiff City's level · Cardiff City: only games against sides at Middlesbrough FC's level
1X2 - 2UP: Middlesbrough FCLEANPAGE ONLY
1.49
MID 3 of 5 (60%) · CAR 5 of 8 (62%)67.5%
Middlesbrough FC scored first 3 of last 5, led by 2 or won in 3 · led by 2 or won in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Cardiff City trailed by 2 or lost in 4 of 5 away · Middlesbrough FC: only games against sides at Cardiff City's level · Cardiff City: only games against sides at Middlesbrough FC's level
Middlesbrough FC to WinLEANPAGE ONLY
1.48
MID 5 of 8 (62%) · CAR 4 of 5 (80%)63.8%
Middlesbrough FC won 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Cardiff City lost 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 53% · H2H 4 of 6 · Middlesbrough FC: only games against sides at Cardiff City's level · Cardiff City: only games against sides at Middlesbrough FC's level
Middlesbrough FC or draw and both teams scoreSETTLEDPAGE ONLY
1.75
MID 6 of 8 (75%) · CAR 3 of 5 (60%)50%
Middlesbrough FC: the bet landed in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Cardiff City: the bet landed in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 65% · H2H 3 of 6 · Middlesbrough FC: only games against sides at Cardiff City's level · Cardiff City: only games against sides at Middlesbrough FC's level · rule 2: the meetings back Middlesbrough FC: in the last 10 meetings, Middlesbrough FC won 6, Cardiff City won 1 and
GOALS
Over 1.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.12
MID 6 of 8 (75%) · CAR 4 of 5 (80%)83.2%
Middlesbrough FC: over 1.5 goals in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Cardiff City: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 82% · H2H 6 of 6 · Middlesbrough FC: only games against sides at Cardiff City's level · Cardiff City: only games against sides at Middlesbrough FC's level
MIDDLESBROUGH FC GOALS
Middlesbrough FC Over 1.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.42
MID 5 of 8 (62%) · CAR 4 of 5 (80%)53.1%
Middlesbrough FC scored over 1.5 in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Cardiff City conceded over 1.5 in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 59% · H2H 5 of 6 · Middlesbrough FC: only games against sides at Cardiff City's level · Cardiff City: only games against sides at Middlesbrough FC's level
CARDIFF CITY GOALS
Cardiff City Over 0.5 goalsLEANHELD · the odds board 74%
1.36
MID 3 of 5 (60%) · CAR 6 of 8 (75%)50.5%
Cardiff City scored in 3 of 5 away · Middlesbrough FC conceded in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 76% · H2H 4 of 6 · Cardiff City: only games against sides at Middlesbrough FC's level · Middlesbrough FC: only games against sides at Cardiff City's level
HALVES
2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5PAGE ONLY
1.13
MID 7 of 8 (88%) · CAR 5 of 5 (100%)89.8%
Middlesbrough FC: the bet landed in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Cardiff City: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 88% · H2H 5 of 6 · on half-time scores · Middlesbrough FC: only games against sides at Cardiff City's level · Cardiff City: only games against sides at Middlesbrough FC's level
2nd Half - Middlesbrough FC Over/Under: Over 0.5PAGE ONLY
1.32
MID 6 of 8 (75%) · CAR 4 of 5 (80%)75.9%
Middlesbrough FC: the bet landed in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Cardiff City: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 65% · H2H 5 of 6 · on half-time scores · Middlesbrough FC: only games against sides at Cardiff City's level · Cardiff City: only games against sides at Middlesbrough FC's level
Over 0.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY
1.22
MID 5 of 8 (62%) · CAR 4 of 5 (80%)71.2%
Middlesbrough FC: the bet landed in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Cardiff City: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 76% · H2H 4 of 6 · on half-time scores · Middlesbrough FC: only games against sides at Cardiff City's level · Cardiff City: only games against sides at Middlesbrough FC's level
Left off the list: Cardiff City Under 1.5 goals (Middlesbrough FC's own games don't back it (4 of 8)); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 2–19.9%
Middlesbrough FC goals →
Cardiff City goals ↓
0-06%
1-010%
2-010%
3-06%
4-03%
5-01%
0-15%
1-111%
2-110%
3-16%
4-13%
5-11%
0-23%
1-25%
2-25%
3-23%
4-21%
5-20.6%
0-30.9%
1-32%
2-32%
3-31%
4-30.5%
5-30.2%
0-40.2%
1-40.4%
2-40.4%
3-40.3%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.0%
1-50.1%
2-50.1%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).
FORM · LAST 10
MIDDLESBROUGH FCWWDDWLWDWW2.10 PPG
CARDIFF CITYWLWLDLLDLD0.90 PPG
THE NUMBERS
MIDDLESBROUGH FC HOMExCARDIFF CITY AWAY
2.00SCORED A GAME1.601.40CONCEDED A GAME1.5020%CLEAN SHEETS0%0%FAILED TO SCORE20%5.30CORNERS A GAME7.501.38CARDS A GAME2.121.99xG2.031.11xG AGAINST1.40
THE BANK
THE QUALITY READ
2.10POINTS A GAME1.00+0.60GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.10+3.0SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+5.72.2LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.410LEAGUE GAMES10
Middlesbrough FC: the quality side - more points a game, better form (last 5).
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
88%
VERY GOOD · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
66%
OKAY · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
85%
NO · 85/90
MIDDLESBROUGH FC OR DRAW
94%
VERY GOOD · 80/85
CARDIFF CITY OR DRAW
20%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (10 and 10 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
MIDDLESBROUGH FCxCARDIFF CITY
5GAMES52.40SCORED A GAME0.801.40CONCEDED A GAME1.803.8GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.680%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%80%OVER 2.5 GOALS60%80%BOTH SCORE60%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 10
MIDDLESBROUGH FC 6 · 60%DRAW 3CARDIFF CITY 1 · 10%
6 of 10BOTH TEAMS SCORED
10 of 10OVER 1.5 GOALS
3 of 10OVER 2.5 GOALS
3 of 10OVER 3.5 GOALS
2020-10-24Middlesbrough FC 1 – 1 Cardiff City
2021-02-27Middlesbrough FC 1 – 1 Cardiff City
2021-10-23Middlesbrough FC 2 – 0 Cardiff City
2022-04-27Middlesbrough FC 2 – 0 Cardiff City
2022-09-13Middlesbrough FC 2 – 3 Cardiff City
2023-02-11Middlesbrough FC 3 – 1 Cardiff City
2023-10-03Middlesbrough FC 2 – 0 Cardiff City
2024-04-27Middlesbrough FC 4 – 1 Cardiff City
TEAM NEWS
MIDDLESBROUGH FC
Out: A. Jones (Calf Injury), R. Pukstas (Inactive), D. Strelec (Inactive), A. Jones (Calf Injury), R. Pukstas (Inactive), D. Strelec (Inactive)
CARDIFF CITY
Out: K. Bielik (Suspended), C. Chambers (Knee Injury), R. Colwill (Health problems), Y. Salech (Inactive), K. Bielik (Suspended), C. Chambers (Knee Injury)
TRENDS
Middlesbrough FC have scored in 90% of their games.
Cardiff City have scored in 80% of their games.
Middlesbrough FC kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.
Cardiff City kept a clean sheet in 0% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstxG & xGAclean sheetshead to headleague tableteam newscornerscards