Melbourne Victory vs FC Seoul
Match details. AuC. Kick-off is Wed 14 Oct, 08:45 Lagos time.
Form. Melbourne Victory have won three, drawn six and lost one of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D W D D. FC Seoul have won seven, drawn none and lost three of their last ten, 2.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L W L.
The numbers. Melbourne Victory score 1.3 and concede 0.6 a game over their last ten, with six clean sheets and four games without a goal. Melbourne Victory average 11.3 shots (3.9 on target), 6.5 corners and 1.8 cards a game, with 50% of the ball. FC Seoul score three and concede 1.2 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. FC Seoul average 14.8 shots (7.2 on target), 5.1 corners and 1.7 cards a game, with 56% of the ball.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 52%.
The case against. Melbourne Victory's record still gives them 33% to win.
The read. FC Seoul or the draw. FC Seoul are the stronger side on form and the table.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: FC Seoul Over 0.5 goals (Melbourne Victory's own games don't back it (4 of 10)); Melbourne Victory Under 1.5 goals (Melbourne Victory's own games don't back it (5 of 10)). Predicted score: Melbourne Victory 1-1 FC Seoul (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).