Mombasa United FC vs Kakamega Homeboyz
Match details. Premier League. Kick-off is Wed 14 Oct, 13:00 Lagos time.
Form. Mombasa United FC have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W D W L. Kakamega Homeboyz have won two, drawn four and lost four of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D L L L.
The numbers. Mombasa United FC score one and concede 0.4 a game in their last five at home, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. Mombasa United FC average 13.3 shots (3.9 on target), 5.0 corners and 0.7 cards a game. Kakamega Homeboyz score 1.1 and concede 1.1 a game in their last seven away, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Kakamega Homeboyz average 10.1 shots (3.4 on target), 4.9 corners and 0.5 cards a game.
The read. A draw. A tight game. Little separates them, and both sides draw often. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 34%.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.18, 87% on the records (Mombasa United FC: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home; Kakamega Homeboyz: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 7 away). Backup: Kakamega Homeboyz Under 1.5 Goals at 1.41. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Mombasa United FC or Under 2.5 Goals (the call is a draw); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Mombasa United FC 1-1 Kakamega Homeboyz (14% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).