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GUATEMALA - LIGA NACIONAL
CD Marquense crestCMCDM
04:00Thu 15 Oct
DEPDeportivo Mixco crestDM

CD Marquense vs Deportivo Mixco

CLASS D
THE READ

Match details. Liga Nacional, Regular Season - 14. Kick-off is Thu 15 Oct, 04:00 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio Marquesa de la Ensenada, San Marcos.

Form. CD Marquense have won six, drawn two and lost two of their last ten, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W W L D. In this competition CD Marquense have gone D W W L D W. Deportivo Mixco have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W L W L. In this competition Deportivo Mixco have gone D W L W L D.

The numbers. CD Marquense score one and concede 1.2 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. CD Marquense average 4.8 corners and 2.1 cards a game. Deportivo Mixco score 1.2 and concede 2.6 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal. Deportivo Mixco average 5.0 corners and 2.9 cards a game.

Head to head. In the last nine meetings CD Marquense have won three, drawn two and lost four. Four of the nine went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, CD Marquense won one and Deportivo Mixco won three. The last time they met, on 8 Aug 2026, it finished CD Marquense 0-1 Deportivo Mixco.

Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: their goals for and against make CD Marquense the likelier winners, but CD Marquense are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour CD Marquense; the meetings favour Deportivo Mixco. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 56%; five of the last nine meetings went under 2.5.

The case against. Deportivo Mixco's record still gives them 29% to win. The meetings do not back them. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 56%.

The read. CD Marquense or the draw. A tight game. Their goals for and against make CD Marquense the likelier winners; CD Marquense are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour CD Marquense; the meetings favour Deportivo Mixco. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Five of the last nine meetings went under 2.5.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); 1X2 - 2UP: CD Marquense (the signs point different ways); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: CD Marquense 1-1 Deportivo Mixco (13% chance).

PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Double Chance: CD Marquense or DrawPAGE ONLY
1.15
CDM 4 of 5 (80%) · DEP 5 of 5 (100%)77.9%
CD Marquense unbeaten in 4 of 5 at home · Deportivo Mixco failed to win 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 70% · H2H 2 of 6 · CD Marquense: only games against sides at Deportivo Mixco's level · Deportivo Mixco: only games against sides at CD Marquense's level
CD Marquense or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
1.11
CDM 4 of 5 (80%) · DEP 4 of 5 (80%)72.1%
CD Marquense: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Deportivo Mixco: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 75% · H2H 4 of 6 · CD Marquense: only games against sides at Deportivo Mixco's level · Deportivo Mixco: only games against sides at CD Marquense's level
CD Marquense or Draw (1UP)LEANHELD · the odds board 90%
1.11
CDM 4 of 5 (80%) · DEP 4 of 5 (80%)65.8%
CD Marquense scored first 2 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 4 · led or was unbeaten in 4 of 5 at home · Deportivo Mixco trailed or failed to win in 3 of 8 (last 10, all venues)
CD Marquense or Draw & Over 1.5LEANPAGE ONLY
1.43
CDM 2 of 5 (40%) · DEP 4 of 5 (80%)57.6%
CD Marquense: the bet landed in 2 of 5 at home · Deportivo Mixco: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 55% · H2H 2 of 6 · CD Marquense: only games against sides at Deportivo Mixco's level · Deportivo Mixco: only games against sides at CD Marquense's level
CD Marquense or draw and under 3.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.51
CDM 4 of 5 (80%) · DEP 2 of 5 (40%)57.6%
CD Marquense: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Deportivo Mixco: the bet landed in 2 of 5 away · both last 10: 55% · H2H 2 of 6 · CD Marquense: only games against sides at Deportivo Mixco's level · Deportivo Mixco: only games against sides at CD Marquense's level
CD Marquense to WinLEANPAGE ONLY
1.62
CDM 3 of 5 (60%) · DEP 4 of 5 (80%)55.4%
CD Marquense won 3 of 5 at home · Deportivo Mixco lost 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 50% · H2H 1 of 6 · CD Marquense: only games against sides at Deportivo Mixco's level · Deportivo Mixco: only games against sides at CD Marquense's level
CD Marquense 1UPLEANHELD · the odds board 74%
1.35
CDM 3 of 5 (60%) · DEP 3 of 5 (60%)52.5%
CD Marquense scored first 2 of last 5, led in 3 · led in 3 of 5 at home · Deportivo Mixco trailed in 3 of 8 (last 10, all venues)
GOALS
Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CDM 5 of 5 (100%) · DEP 4 of 5 (80%)96.6%
CD Marquense: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Deportivo Mixco: under 5.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 90% · H2H 6 of 6 · CD Marquense: only games against sides at Deportivo Mixco's level · Deportivo Mixco: only games against sides at CD Marquense's level
Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
1.10
CDM 5 of 5 (100%) · DEP 2 of 5 (40%)91.8%
CD Marquense: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Deportivo Mixco: under 4.5 goals in 2 of 5 away · both last 10: 75% · H2H 6 of 6 · CD Marquense: only games against sides at Deportivo Mixco's level · Deportivo Mixco: only games against sides at CD Marquense's level
Under 3.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
1.32
CDM 4 of 5 (80%) · DEP 2 of 5 (40%)76.4%
CD Marquense: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · Deportivo Mixco: under 3.5 goals in 2 of 5 away · both last 10: 65% · H2H 6 of 6 · CD Marquense: only games against sides at Deportivo Mixco's level · Deportivo Mixco: only games against sides at CD Marquense's level
CD MARQUENSE GOALS
CD Marquense Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES
1.18
CDM 3 of 5 (60%) · DEP 5 of 5 (100%)80.9%
CD Marquense scored in 3 of 5 at home · Deportivo Mixco conceded in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 80% · H2H 4 of 6 · CD Marquense: only games against sides at Deportivo Mixco's level · Deportivo Mixco: only games against sides at CD Marquense's level
DEPORTIVO MIXCO GOALS
Deportivo Mixco Under 1.5 goalsLEANIN CODES
1.21
CDM 3 of 5 (60%) · DEP 4 of 5 (80%)69.1%
Deportivo Mixco scored under 1.5 in 3 of 5 away · CD Marquense conceded under 1.5 in 4 of 5 at home · both last 10: 70% · H2H 4 of 6 · Deportivo Mixco: only games against sides at CD Marquense's level · CD Marquense: only games against sides at Deportivo Mixco's level
Deportivo Mixco Over 0.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.48
CDM 3 of 5 (60%) · DEP 3 of 5 (60%)53.7%
Deportivo Mixco scored in 3 of 5 away · CD Marquense conceded in 3 of 5 at home · both last 10: 75% · H2H 6 of 6 · Deportivo Mixco: only games against sides at CD Marquense's level · CD Marquense: only games against sides at Deportivo Mixco's level
Left off the list: Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); 1X2 - 2UP: CD Marquense (the numbers (50%) and the records (52%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–1 12.7%
CD Marquense goals →
Deportivo Mixco goals ↓
0-08%
1-010%
2-09%
3-05%
4-02%
5-00.6%
0-17%
1-113%
2-19%
3-15%
4-12%
5-10.6%
0-24%
1-26%
2-25%
3-23%
4-21%
5-20.3%
0-31%
1-32%
2-32%
3-31.0%
4-30.4%
5-30.1%
0-40.4%
1-40.6%
2-40.5%
3-40.3%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.1%
1-50.1%
2-50.1%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10
CD MARQUENSEWWWLWDLWWD2.00 PPG
DEPORTIVO MIXCOWLWLDLWLWD1.40 PPG
THE NUMBERS
CD MARQUENSE HOMExDEPORTIVO MIXCO AWAY
1.20SCORED A GAME1.801.00CONCEDED A GAME1.9030%CLEAN SHEETS20%31%FAILED TO SCORE25%4.77CORNERS A GAME5.002.15CARDS A GAME2.90
THE BANK
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
67%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
46%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
74%
NO · 85/90
CD MARQUENSE OR DRAW
93%
VERY GOOD · 80/85
DEPORTIVO MIXCO OR DRAW
36%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (5 and 4 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 9
CD MARQUENSE 3 · 33%DRAW 2DEPORTIVO MIXCO 4 · 44%
5 of 9BOTH TEAMS SCORED
6 of 9OVER 1.5 GOALS
4 of 9OVER 2.5 GOALS
1 of 9OVER 3.5 GOALS
2024-08-10CD Marquense 2 – 0 Deportivo Mixco
2024-10-26CD Marquense 0 – 0 Deportivo Mixco
2025-01-22CD Marquense 3 – 2 Deportivo Mixco
2025-03-10CD Marquense 1 – 1 Deportivo Mixco
2025-09-12CD Marquense 0 – 1 Deportivo Mixco
2025-11-16CD Marquense 1 – 2 Deportivo Mixco
2026-02-20CD Marquense 2 – 1 Deportivo Mixco
2026-04-07CD Marquense 1 – 2 Deportivo Mixco
TRENDS
CD Marquense have scored in 70% of their games.
Deportivo Mixco have scored in 80% of their games.
CD Marquense kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.
Deportivo Mixco kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.
BUILT FROM
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