Match details. Liga Nacional. Kick-off is Thu 15 Oct, 00:00 Lagos time.
Form. Comunicaciones FC have won three, drawn one and lost six of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W L D. Aurora FC have won four, drawn none and lost six of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L W L.
The numbers. Comunicaciones FC score 1.6 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Comunicaciones FC average 4.9 corners and 3.0 cards a game. Aurora FC score 1.4 and concede 2.4 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets. Aurora FC average 3.5 corners and 1.9 cards a game.
The case against. Aurora FC's record still gives them 37% to win.
The read. Comunicaciones FC to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make Comunicaciones FC the likelier winners; both teams' records favour Comunicaciones FC . Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 78%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.28, 76% on the records (Comunicaciones FC : over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home; Aurora FC: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 away). Backup: Comunicaciones FC or Over 2.5 Goals at 1.25. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Comunicaciones FC 2-1 Aurora FC (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).