Match details. UEFA Europa League, League Stage - 2. Kick-off is Thu 15 Oct, 17:45 Lagos time. It is played at Estádio Dr. Magalhães Pessoa, Leiria, a neutral ground. The referee is Enea Jorgji.
What's at stake. SCU Torreense are 12th on 3 points after 1 game, level on points with Lyon, level on points with Olympiakos Piraeus. A win would take them above Lyon. Sunderland AFC are 15th on 3 points after 1 game, level on points with Red Bull Salzburg, level on points with Omonia Nicosia. A win would take them above Red Bull Salzburg.
Team news. SCU Torreense are without N. Jatta (red card), N. Jatta (red card). Sunderland AFC are without J. Angulo (off the roster), D. Ballard (muscle injury), A. Browne (off the roster), H. Diarra (hamstring injury), M. Ellborg (off the roster), T. Meunier (muscle injury). B. Brobbey is their top scorer. T. Meunier is their main creator.
Form. SCU Torreense have won two, drawn three and lost five of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W D W L. In this competition SCU Torreense have gone W. Sunderland AFC have won four, drawn one and lost five of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W L W. In this competition Sunderland AFC have gone W.
The numbers. SCU Torreense score 0.9 and concede 1.4 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and five games without a goal. SCU Torreense average 7.7 shots (2.3 on target), 4.3 corners and 2.5 cards a game, with 39% of the ball. Sunderland AFC score 0.9 and concede 1.3 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets and three games without a goal. Sunderland AFC average 13.9 shots (4.5 on target), 5.8 corners and 2.2 cards a game, with 50% of the ball.
The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 37%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: SCU Torreense 1-1 Sunderland AFC (14% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).