Guabira Montero vs Oriente Petrolero
Match details. Division Profesional, Apertura - 22. Kick-off is Mon 19 Oct, 00:30 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio Ramon Tahuichi Aguilera, Santa Cruz de la Sierra, a neutral ground.
What's at stake. Guabira Montero are 7th on 29 points after 21 games, 2 points behind Aurora, 1 point clear of Nacional Potosí. A win would take them above Aurora. Oriente Petrolero are 5th on 33 points after 21 games, 5 points behind Real Potosí, 2 points clear of Aurora.
Form. Guabira Montero have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L D L. In this competition Guabira Montero have gone L W L D L D. Oriente Petrolero have won six, drawn one and lost three of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L L D. In this competition Oriente Petrolero have gone W W L L D W.
The numbers. Guabira Montero score 1.5 and concede 1.8 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets. Guabira Montero average 12.2 shots (4.9 on target), 3.6 corners and 2.4 cards a game, with 49% of the ball. Oriente Petrolero score 2.2 and concede 1.1 a game over their last ten, with five clean sheets. Oriente Petrolero average 15.1 shots (5.9 on target), 5.6 corners and 3.2 cards a game, with 54% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last nine meetings Guabira Montero have won two, drawn two and lost five. Six of the nine went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, Guabira Montero won one, one was drawn and Oriente Petrolero won two. The last time they met, on 4 Oct 2026, it finished Guabira Montero 2-1 Oriente Petrolero.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 70%; six of the last nine meetings went over 2.5, and the meetings settle it.
The case against. Guabira Montero's record still gives them 30% to win. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to a tight game.
The read. Oriente Petrolero to win. An open game. Oriente Petrolero are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Oriente Petrolero; the meetings favour Oriente Petrolero. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 70%. Six of the last nine meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.12, 70% on the records (Guabira Montero: over 1.5 goals in 9 of 10; Oriente Petrolero: over 1.5 goals in 8 of 10). Backup: 2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5 at 1.11. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Guabira Montero Over 0.5 goals (Oriente Petrolero's own games don't back it (5 of 10)); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Guabira Montero 1-2 Oriente Petrolero (8% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).