AD Pasto vs Alianza FC Valledupar
Match details. Liga DIMAYOR, Clausura - 15. Kick-off is Tue 20 Oct, 02:05 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio Departamental Libertad, Pasto. The referee is Alvaro Jose Melendez Panneflek.
What's at stake. AD Pasto are 20th on 9 points after 12 games, 1 point behind Jaguares. A win would take them above Jaguares. Alianza FC Valledupar are 15th on 12 points after 13 games, level on points with Junior, level on points with Chico. A win would take them above Junior.
Form. AD Pasto have won two, drawn three and lost five of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L W W D. In this competition AD Pasto have gone D L W W D L. Alianza FC Valledupar have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L W L W. In this competition Alianza FC Valledupar have gone D L W L W W.
The numbers. AD Pasto score 0.4 and concede one a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal. AD Pasto average 11.9 shots (3.1 on target), 4.4 corners and 4.8 cards a game, with 54% of the ball. Alianza FC Valledupar score one and concede 1.8 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal. Alianza FC Valledupar average 10.4 shots (3.4 on target), 4.0 corners and 3.1 cards a game, with 39% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings AD Pasto have won one, drawn six and lost three. Two of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in four. In the last four, AD Pasto won one, two were drawn and Alianza FC Valledupar won one. The last time they met, on 1 Apr 2026, it finished AD Pasto 0-0 Alianza FC Valledupar: AD Pasto had 13 shots to 10, 53% of the ball, seven yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: their goals for and against make AD Pasto the likelier winners, but Alianza FC Valledupar are the stronger side on form and the table.
The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 42%. Eight of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: AD Pasto Over 0.5 goals (AD Pasto's own games don't back it (2 of 5)); Alianza FC Valledupar win or both teams score (no result call); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: AD Pasto 1-1 Alianza FC Valledupar (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).