Varbergs BoIS vs Helsingborgs IF
Match details. Superettan, Regular Season - 27. Kick-off is Mon 19 Oct, 18:05 Lagos time. It is played at Påskbergsvallen, Varberg. The referee is Jasmin Svraka.
What's at stake. Varbergs BoIS are 3rd on 45 points after 26 games, 6 points behind Falkenbergs FF, level on points with Ostersunds FK. Helsingborgs IF are 12th on 30 points after 26 games, 2 points behind IFK Varnamo, 3 points clear of Norrby IF. A win would take them above IFK Varnamo.
Form. Varbergs BoIS have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W W L D. In this competition Varbergs BoIS have gone D W W L D W. Helsingborgs IF have won one, drawn three and lost six of their last ten, 0.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D L W L. In this competition Helsingborgs IF have gone L D L W L D.
The numbers. Varbergs BoIS score 1.6 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal. Varbergs BoIS average 9.4 shots (3.6 on target), 6.6 corners and 1.0 cards a game, with 53% of the ball. Helsingborgs IF score 0.7 and concede 1.7 a game in their last six away, with no clean sheets and three games without a goal. Helsingborgs IF average 8.0 shots (2.8 on target), 5.5 corners and 1.8 cards a game, with 44% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last eight meetings Varbergs BoIS have won four, drawn one and lost three. Five of the eight went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in four. In the last four, Varbergs BoIS won three and Helsingborgs IF won one. The last time they met, on 19 May 2026, it finished Varbergs BoIS 3-1 Helsingborgs IF: 52% of the ball, three yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; five of the last eight meetings went over 2.5.
The case against. Helsingborgs IF's record still gives them 28% to win. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to a tight game.
The read. Varbergs BoIS to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make Varbergs BoIS the likelier winners; Varbergs BoIS are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Varbergs BoIS; the meetings favour Varbergs BoIS. Five of the last eight meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Varbergs BoIS or Draw at 1.25, 77% on the records (Varbergs BoIS unbeaten in 3 of 5 at home; Helsingborgs IF failed to win 5 of 6 away). Backup: 2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5 at 1.21. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Helsingborgs IF Over 0.5 goals (Helsingborgs IF's own games don't back it (3 of 6)); Varbergs BoIS Over 1.5 goals (Helsingborgs IF's own games don't back it (3 of 6)); Under 4.5 Goals (Varbergs BoIS are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: Varbergs BoIS 2-1 Helsingborgs IF (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).