LFLLA

00:05Mon 19 Oct

IND

Llaneros FC vs Independiente Santa Fe

CLASS D

THE READ

Match details. Liga DIMAYOR, Clausura - 15. Kick-off is Mon 19 Oct, 00:05 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio Manuel Calle Lombana, Villavicencio. The referee is Jhon Ospina.

What's at stake. Llaneros FC are 12th on 14 points after 13 games, 2 points behind Águilas Doradas, level on points with Internacional de Bogota. A win would take them above Águilas Doradas. Independiente Santa Fe are 7th on 22 points after 12 games, 1 point behind Independiente Medellin, 2 points clear of Deportes Tolima. A win would take them above Independiente Medellin.

Form. Llaneros FC have won two, drawn one and lost seven of their last ten, 0.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L W L. In this competition Llaneros FC have gone L L L W L L. Independiente Santa Fe have won five, drawn three and lost one of their last nine, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L W W. In this competition Independiente Santa Fe have gone W W L W W D.

The numbers. Llaneros FC score one and concede 1.5 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Llaneros FC average 10.9 shots (4.4 on target), 4.4 corners and 4.1 cards a game, with 44% of the ball. Independiente Santa Fe score 1.6 and concede 0.9 a game over their last nine, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. Independiente Santa Fe average 13.4 shots (5.6 on target), 5.5 corners and 3.1 cards a game, with 45% of the ball.

Head to head. In the last three meetings Llaneros FC have won two, drawn none and lost one. One of the three went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in one. The last time they met, on 1 Apr 2026, it finished Llaneros FC 1-0 Independiente Santa Fe: Llaneros FC had 7 shots to 11, 48% of the ball, eight yellow cards.

Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 38% against the records' 59%.

The read. No firm call: Independiente Santa Fe are the better side, but not at this price. A tight game. Independiente Santa Fe are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Independiente Santa Fe. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 45%. Two of the last three meetings went under 2.5.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Llaneros FC 1-1 Independiente Santa Fe (13% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

Independiente Santa Fe win or both teams scoreIN CODES

1.34

LLA 7 of 9 (78%) · IND 8 of 10 (80%)73.7%

Independiente Santa Fe: the bet landed in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Llaneros FC: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 79% · H2H 2 of 3 · Independiente Santa Fe: only games against sides at Llaneros FC's level · Llaneros FC: only games against sides at Independiente Santa Fe's level

GOALS

Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

LLA 10 of 10 (100%) · IND 9 of 9 (100%)96.1%

Llaneros FC: under 5.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Independiente Santa Fe: under 5.5 goals in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · H2H 3 of 3 · Llaneros FC: only games against sides at Independiente Santa Fe's level · Independiente Santa Fe: only games against sides at Llaneros FC's level

Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

LLA 9 of 10 (90%) · IND 7 of 9 (78%)90.2%

Llaneros FC: under 4.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Independiente Santa Fe: under 4.5 goals in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 84% · H2H 3 of 3 · Llaneros FC: only games against sides at Independiente Santa Fe's level · Independiente Santa Fe: only games against sides at Llaneros FC's level

LLANEROS FC GOALS

Llaneros FC Under 1.5 goalsPAGE ONLY

1.40

LLA 8 of 10 (80%) · IND 7 of 9 (78%)73.3%

Llaneros FC scored under 1.5 in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Independiente Santa Fe conceded under 1.5 in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 79% · H2H 2 of 3 · Llaneros FC: only games against sides at Independiente Santa Fe's level · Independiente Santa Fe: only games against sides at Llaneros FC's level

Llaneros FC Over 0.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.38

LLA 8 of 10 (80%) · IND 6 of 9 (67%)58.7%

Llaneros FC scored in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Independiente Santa Fe conceded in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 73% · H2H 2 of 3 · Llaneros FC: only games against sides at Independiente Santa Fe's level · Independiente Santa Fe: only games against sides at Llaneros FC's level

INDEPENDIENTE SANTA FE GOALS

Independiente Santa Fe Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES

1.35

LLA 7 of 9 (78%) · IND 8 of 10 (80%)72.5%

Independiente Santa Fe scored in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Llaneros FC conceded in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 79% · H2H 2 of 3 · Independiente Santa Fe: only games against sides at Llaneros FC's level · Llaneros FC: only games against sides at Independiente Santa Fe's level

CARDS

Over 3.5 CardsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

LLA 7 of 8 (88%) · IND 8 of 8 (100%)93.8%

Llaneros FC's games: over 3.5 cards in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Independiente Santa Fe's games: over 3.5 cards in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 94% · Llaneros FC: only games against sides at Independiente Santa Fe's level · Independiente Santa Fe: only games against sides at Llaneros FC's level

Left off the list: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–1 13.3%

Llaneros FC goals →

Independiente Santa Fe goals ↓

0-09%

1-08%

2-05%

3-02%

4-00.5%

5-00.1%

0-111%

1-113%

2-17%

3-13%

4-10.7%

5-10.2%

0-28%

1-29%

2-25%

3-22%

4-20.5%

5-20.1%

0-34%

1-34%

2-32%

3-30.9%

4-30.2%

5-30.1%

0-41%

1-41%

2-40.8%

3-40.3%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.4%

1-50.4%

2-50.2%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10

LLANEROS FCDWLLLLWLLL0.70 PPG

INDEPENDIENTE SANTA FEDDWDWWLWW2.00 PPG

THE NUMBERS

LLANEROS FC HOMExINDEPENDIENTE SANTA FE AWAY

1.00SCORED A GAME1.561.50CONCEDED A GAME0.8910%CLEAN SHEETS30%25%FAILED TO SCORE14%4.38CORNERS A GAME5.504.12CARDS A GAME3.121.05xG1.151.40xG AGAINST0.83

THE BANK

THE BANKER MENU

OVER 1.5 CARDS

–

649 OF 684

NO PRICE YET

The league averages 5.0+ cards a game.

LLANEROS FC 3:0 HANDICAP

–

134 OF 142

NO PRICE YET

The tips say a tight game and the Bank expects under 2.3 goals.

OVER 2.5 CARDS

–

258 OF 280

NO PRICE YET

The league averages 5.0+ cards a game and the Bank expects 4.5+ cards.

BOTH HALVES OVER 1.5: NO

–

138 OF 151

NO PRICE YET

The tips say a tight game and the Bank expects under 2.3 goals.

Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.

THE QUALITY READ

0.91POINTS A GAME1.83-0.27GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.33-3.0SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-0.80.6LAST 5: POINTS A GAME2.011LEAGUE GAMES6

Independiente Santa Fe: the quality side - more points a game, better form (last 5).

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

74%

NO · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

52%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

88%

OKAY · 85/90

LLANEROS FC OR DRAW

41%

NO · 80/85

INDEPENDIENTE SANTA FE OR DRAW

73%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (11 and 6 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

LLANEROS FCxINDEPENDIENTE SANTA FE

5GAMES51.20SCORED A GAME1.601.60CONCEDED A GAME1.202.8GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.880%OVER 1.5 GOALS60%60%OVER 2.5 GOALS60%60%BOTH SCORE60%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES6.8–CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES11.0

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 3

LLANEROS FC 2 · 67%DRAW 0INDEPENDIENTE SANTA FE 1 · 33%

1 of 3BOTH TEAMS SCORED

1 of 3OVER 1.5 GOALS

1 of 3OVER 2.5 GOALS

1 of 3OVER 3.5 GOALS

2025-05-01Llaneros FC 0 – 1 Independiente Santa Fe

2025-10-12Llaneros FC 3 – 1 Independiente Santa Fe

2026-04-01Llaneros FC 1 – 0 Independiente Santa Fe

TRENDS

Llaneros FC have scored in 80% of their games.

Independiente Santa Fe have scored in 70% of their games.

Llaneros FC kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.

Independiente Santa Fe kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstxG & xGAclean sheetshead to headleague tablecornerscards