Match details. League One, Regular Season - 11. Kick-off is Sat 17 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time. It is played at Edgeley Park, Stockport.
What's at stake. Stockport County FC are 3rd on 16 points after 9 games, 1 point behind Bradford, level on points with Huddersfield. A win would take them above Bradford. Bromley FC are 21st on 8 points after 8 games, level on points with Peterborough, 1 point clear of Notts County. A win would take them above Peterborough.
Form. Stockport County FC have won six, drawn one and lost three of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W D L. Bromley FC have won two, drawn two and lost six of their last ten, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L W D.
The numbers. Stockport County FC score 3.2 and concede 1.8 a game in their last six at home, with one clean sheet. Stockport County FC average 8.3 shots (3.4 on target), 7.3 corners and 0.9 cards a game, with 59% of the ball. Bromley FC score 1.2 and concede three a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. Bromley FC average 5.6 shots (2.9 on target), 3.0 corners and 2.1 cards a game, with 37% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last six meetings Stockport County FC have won three, drawn three and lost none. Two of the six went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in three. In the last four, Stockport County FC won two and two were drawn. The last time they met, on 15 Feb 2022, it finished Stockport County FC 3-1 Bromley FC.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 79% against the records' 52%. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 60%; four of the last six meetings went under 2.5.
The case against. Not everything agrees on goals: four of the last six meetings went under 2.5.
The read. No firm call: Stockport County FC are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make Stockport County FC the likelier winners; Stockport County FC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Stockport County FC; the meetings favour Stockport County FC. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 60%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.13, 79% on the records (Stockport County FC: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home; Bromley FC: over 1.5 goals in 7 of 8). Full cover: Bromley FC Under 1.5 Goals at 1.17. It wins on every score where the best bet loses. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (Stockport County FC are a clear winner, no Unders); Under 5.5 Goals (Stockport County FC are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: Stockport County FC 2-1 Bromley FC (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).