SWSHE

15:00Sat 17 Oct

AFC

Sheffield Wednesday vs AFC Wimbledon

CLASS E

Pick card Full analysis Share

THE BETSTRONG · 10-ODDS · 100-ODDS ·…

TOTAL GOALS

Class E

SWv

Under 3.5 Goals

Sheffield Wednesday v AFC Wimbledon

England - League One · 15:00

1.46odds

68%book

+12edge

3/3angles

THE READ

Match details. League One, Regular Season - 11. Kick-off is Sat 17 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time. It is played at Hillsborough Stadium, Sheffield.

What's at stake. Sheffield Wednesday are 8th on 15 points after 8 games, level on points with Oxford United, 3 points clear of Stevenage. A win would take them above Oxford United. AFC Wimbledon are 12th on 12 points after 9 games, level on points with Mansfield Town, 1 point clear of Leyton Orient. A win would take them above Mansfield Town.

Form. Sheffield Wednesday have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W W D D. AFC Wimbledon have won three, drawn four and lost three of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D D D W.

The numbers. Sheffield Wednesday score 1.5 and concede 0.8 a game in their last six at home, with three clean sheets and four games without a goal. Sheffield Wednesday average 7.8 shots (3.2 on target), 6.9 corners and 1.8 cards a game, with 56% of the ball. AFC Wimbledon score one and concede two a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. AFC Wimbledon average 6.2 shots (1.9 on target), 5.6 corners and 1.6 cards a game, with 44% of the ball.

Head to head. In the last two meetings Sheffield Wednesday have won one, drawn one and lost none. Two of the two went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in two. The last time they met, on 2 Apr 2022, it finished Sheffield Wednesday 2-1 AFC Wimbledon: Sheffield Wednesday had 16 shots to 7, 72% of the ball, three yellow cards.

Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 60% against the records' 34%.

The read. No firm call: Sheffield Wednesday are the better side, but not at this price. A draw is live. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Sheffield Wednesday the likelier winners; Sheffield Wednesday are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 41%.

The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.46, 73% on the records (Sheffield Wednesday: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 7; AFC Wimbledon: under 3.5 goals in 7 of 8). The safer one: AFC Wimbledon Under 1.5 Goals at 1.31 (75%). Backup: Sheffield Wednesday or Under 2.5 Goals at 1.18. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Predicted score: Sheffield Wednesday 1-1 AFC Wimbledon (12% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

Sheffield Wednesday or Under 2.5 GoalsBACKUPPAGE ONLY

1.18

SHE 6 of 7 (86%) · AFC 8 of 8 (100%)90.2%

Sheffield Wednesday: the bet landed in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · AFC Wimbledon: the bet landed in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 93% · Sheffield Wednesday: only games against sides at AFC Wimbledon's level · AFC Wimbledon: only games against sides at Sheffield Wednesday's level

GOALS

Under 4.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.18

SHE 6 of 7 (86%) · AFC 7 of 8 (88%)93.6%

Sheffield Wednesday: under 4.5 goals in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · AFC Wimbledon: under 4.5 goals in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 87% · Sheffield Wednesday: only games against sides at AFC Wimbledon's level · AFC Wimbledon: only games against sides at Sheffield Wednesday's level

Under 3.5 GoalsMAININ CODES

1.46

SHE 5 of 7 (71%) · AFC 7 of 8 (88%)80.2%

Sheffield Wednesday: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · AFC Wimbledon: under 3.5 goals in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 79% · Sheffield Wednesday: only games against sides at AFC Wimbledon's level · AFC Wimbledon: only games against sides at Sheffield Wednesday's level

Under 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

2.15

SHE 3 of 7 (43%) · AFC 6 of 8 (75%)56.8%

Sheffield Wednesday: under 2.5 goals in 3 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · AFC Wimbledon: under 2.5 goals in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 59% · Sheffield Wednesday: only games against sides at AFC Wimbledon's level · AFC Wimbledon: only games against sides at Sheffield Wednesday's level

AFC WIMBLEDON GOALS

AFC Wimbledon Under 1.5 goalsSAFERIN CODES

1.31

SHE 7 of 8 (88%) · AFC 5 of 7 (71%)81.2%

AFC Wimbledon scored under 1.5 in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Sheffield Wednesday conceded under 1.5 in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 79% · AFC Wimbledon: only games against sides at Sheffield Wednesday's level · Sheffield Wednesday: only games against sides at AFC Wimbledon's level

HALVES

Under 1.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY

1.54

SHE 5 of 7 (71%) · AFC 6 of 8 (75%)73.2%

Sheffield Wednesday: the bet landed in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · AFC Wimbledon: the bet landed in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 73% · on half-time scores · Sheffield Wednesday: only games against sides at AFC Wimbledon's level · AFC Wimbledon: only games against sides at Sheffield Wednesday's level

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–1 12.2%

Sheffield Wednesday goals →

AFC Wimbledon goals ↓

0-08%

1-011%

2-010%

3-06%

4-02%

5-00.8%

0-16%

1-112%

2-110%

3-15%

4-12%

5-10.8%

0-23%

1-26%

2-25%

3-23%

4-21%

5-20.4%

0-31%

1-32%

2-31%

3-30.8%

4-30.3%

5-30.1%

0-40.3%

1-40.4%

2-40.4%

3-40.2%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.0%

1-50.1%

2-50.1%

3-50.0%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10

SHEFFIELD WEDNESDAYDWWDDWWWLL1.80 PPG

AFC WIMBLEDONLDDDWWLWLD1.30 PPG

THE NUMBERS

SHEFFIELD WEDNESDAY HOMExAFC WIMBLEDON AWAY

1.88SCORED A GAME0.781.00CONCEDED A GAME1.1130%CLEAN SHEETS60%38%FAILED TO SCORE33%6.88CORNERS A GAME5.561.78CARDS A GAME1.602.06xG0.951.48xG AGAINST1.43

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

1.88POINTS A GAME1.33+0.88GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.33-1.2SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-0.91.8LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.68LEAGUE GAMES9

Sheffield Wednesday: the quality side - a better goal difference.

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

49%

NO · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

45%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

83%

NO · 85/90

SHEFFIELD WEDNESDAY OR DRAW

78%

NO · 80/85

AFC WIMBLEDON OR DRAW

57%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (8 and 9 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

SHEFFIELD WEDNESDAYxAFC WIMBLEDON

5GAMES51.40SCORED A GAME1.001.00CONCEDED A GAME0.602.4GOALS IN THEIR GAMES1.660%OVER 1.5 GOALS60%60%OVER 2.5 GOALS20%60%BOTH SCORE40%4.4CARDS IN THEIR GAMES3.012.4CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES10.6

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 2

SHEFFIELD WEDNESDAY 1 · 50%DRAW 1AFC WIMBLEDON 0 · 0%

2021-10-16Sheffield Wednesday 2 – 2 AFC Wimbledon

2022-04-02Sheffield Wednesday 2 – 1 AFC Wimbledon

TRENDS

Sheffield Wednesday have scored in 60% of their games.

AFC Wimbledon have scored in 60% of their games.

Sheffield Wednesday kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.

AFC Wimbledon kept a clean sheet in 60% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstxG & xGAclean sheetshead to headleague tablecornerscards