LEILEI

15:00Sat 17 Oct

DON

Leicester vs Doncaster Rovers

CLASS E

THE READ

Match details. League One, Regular Season - 11. Kick-off is Sat 17 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time. It is played at King Power Stadium, Leicester.

What's at stake. Leicester are 17th on 9 points after 8 games, level on points with Doncaster, 1 point clear of Blackpool. A win would take them above Doncaster. Doncaster Rovers are 16th on 9 points after 8 games, 1 point behind Wycombe, level on points with Leicester. A win would take them above Wycombe.

Form. Leicester have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W D W. Doncaster Rovers have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W L L.

The numbers. Leicester score two and concede two a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. Leicester average 12.4 shots (4.0 on target), 6.9 corners and 1.7 cards a game, with 68% of the ball. Doncaster Rovers score 1.1 and concede 1.3 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets and two games without a goal. Doncaster Rovers average 8.9 shots (2.8 on target), 4.6 corners and 2.0 cards a game, with 49% of the ball.

Head to head. In the last four meetings Leicester have won two, drawn none and lost two. Two of the four went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in one. The last time they met, on 3 May 2014, it finished Leicester 1-0 Doncaster Rovers.

Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: their goals for and against make Leicester the likelier winners, but Doncaster Rovers are the stronger side on form and the table. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 44%.

The case against. Leicester's record still gives them 32% to win. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 44%.

The read. Doncaster Rovers or the draw. A draw is live. An open game. Their goals for and against make Leicester the likelier winners; Doncaster Rovers are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to an open game.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Doncaster Rovers 1UP (the signs point different ways); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Leicester 1-2 Doncaster Rovers (5% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

Doncaster Rovers or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

LEI 5 of 7 (71%) · DON 6 of 7 (86%)82.8%

Doncaster Rovers: the bet landed in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Leicester: the bet landed in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 79% · H2H 3 of 4 · Doncaster Rovers: only games against sides at Leicester's level · Leicester: only games against sides at Doncaster Rovers's level

Doncaster Rovers or Draw (1UP)LEANPAGE ONLY

1.53

LEI 3 of 5 (60%) · DON 5 of 7 (71%)67.6%

Doncaster Rovers scored first 3 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 3 · led or was unbeaten in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Leicester trailed or failed to win in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Doncaster Rovers: only games against sides at Leicester's level · Leicester: only games against sides at Doncaster Rovers's level

Doncaster Rovers or Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.36

LEI 4 of 7 (57%) · DON 4 of 7 (57%)61.1%

Doncaster Rovers: the bet landed in 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Leicester: the bet landed in 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 57% · H2H 3 of 4 · Doncaster Rovers: only games against sides at Leicester's level · Leicester: only games against sides at Doncaster Rovers's level

Doncaster Rovers win or both teams scoreLEANPAGE ONLY

1.31

LEI 5 of 7 (71%) · DON 5 of 7 (71%)59.2%

Doncaster Rovers: the bet landed in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Leicester: the bet landed in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 71% · H2H 2 of 4 · Doncaster Rovers: only games against sides at Leicester's level · Leicester: only games against sides at Doncaster Rovers's level

GOALS

Over 1.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.16

LEI 6 of 7 (86%) · DON 4 of 7 (57%)76.1%

Leicester: over 1.5 goals in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Doncaster Rovers: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 71% · H2H 2 of 4 · Leicester: only games against sides at Doncaster Rovers's level · Doncaster Rovers: only games against sides at Leicester's level

Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.54

LEI 4 of 7 (57%) · DON 2 of 7 (29%)51.4%

Leicester: over 2.5 goals in 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Doncaster Rovers: over 2.5 goals in 2 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 43% · H2H 2 of 4 · Leicester: only games against sides at Doncaster Rovers's level · Doncaster Rovers: only games against sides at Leicester's level

LEICESTER GOALS

Leicester Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES

1.13

LEI 5 of 7 (71%) · DON 4 of 7 (57%)73%

Leicester scored in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Doncaster Rovers conceded in 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 64% · H2H 3 of 4 · Leicester: only games against sides at Doncaster Rovers's level · Doncaster Rovers: only games against sides at Leicester's level

DONCASTER ROVERS GOALS

Doncaster Rovers Over 0.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.33

LEI 5 of 7 (71%) · DON 5 of 7 (71%)56.1%

Doncaster Rovers scored in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Leicester conceded in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 71% · H2H 2 of 4 · Doncaster Rovers: only games against sides at Leicester's level · Leicester: only games against sides at Doncaster Rovers's level

HALVES

1st Half - GG/NG: NoPAGE ONLY

1.30

LEI 5 of 7 (71%) · DON 7 of 7 (100%)87.8%

Leicester: the bet landed in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Doncaster Rovers: the bet landed in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 86% · H2H 4 of 4 · on half-time scores · Leicester: only games against sides at Doncaster Rovers's level · Doncaster Rovers: only games against sides at Leicester's level

Under 2.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY

1.16

LEI 4 of 7 (57%) · DON 7 of 7 (100%)81.6%

Leicester: the bet landed in 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Doncaster Rovers: the bet landed in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 79% · H2H 4 of 4 · on half-time scores · Leicester: only games against sides at Doncaster Rovers's level · Doncaster Rovers: only games against sides at Leicester's level

Over 0.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY

1.29

LEI 6 of 7 (86%) · DON 5 of 7 (71%)78.1%

Leicester: the bet landed in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Doncaster Rovers: the bet landed in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 79% · H2H 3 of 4 · on half-time scores · Leicester: only games against sides at Doncaster Rovers's level · Doncaster Rovers: only games against sides at Leicester's level

Under 1.5 first-half goalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.61

LEI 3 of 7 (43%) · DON 7 of 7 (100%)69%

Leicester: the bet landed in 3 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Doncaster Rovers: the bet landed in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 71% · H2H 4 of 4 · on half-time scores · Leicester: only games against sides at Doncaster Rovers's level · Doncaster Rovers: only games against sides at Leicester's level

Left off the list: Doncaster Rovers 1UP (the numbers (37%) and the records (53%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–2 5.3%

Leicester goals →

Doncaster Rovers goals ↓

0-07%

1-011%

2-010%

3-06%

4-03%

5-01.0%

0-15%

1-112%

2-110%

3-16%

4-13%

5-11.0%

0-23%

1-25%

2-25%

3-23%

4-21%

5-20.5%

0-31.0%

1-32%

2-32%

3-30.9%

4-30.4%

5-30.2%

0-40.2%

1-40.4%

2-40.4%

3-40.2%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.0%

1-50.1%

2-50.1%

3-50.0%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).

FORM · LAST 10

LEICESTERLLWDWLWDLL1.10 PPG

DONCASTER ROVERSWWWLLLDDLD1.20 PPG

THE NUMBERS

LEICESTER HOMExDONCASTER ROVERS AWAY

1.25SCORED A GAME1.121.75CONCEDED A GAME1.1220%CLEAN SHEETS40%25%FAILED TO SCORE25%6.88CORNERS A GAME4.631.70CARDS A GAME2.001.48xG1.271.47xG AGAINST1.06

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

1.12POINTS A GAME1.12-0.50GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.00+4.0SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+0.81.4LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.48LEAGUE GAMES8

No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

76%

NO · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

40%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

88%

OKAY · 85/90

LEICESTER OR DRAW

51%

NO · 80/85

DONCASTER ROVERS OR DRAW

63%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (8 and 8 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

LEICESTERxDONCASTER ROVERS

5GAMES51.60SCORED A GAME1.202.20CONCEDED A GAME1.003.8GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.2100%OVER 1.5 GOALS60%60%OVER 2.5 GOALS20%60%BOTH SCORE40%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES4.2–CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES11.6

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 4

LEICESTER 2 · 50%DRAW 0DONCASTER ROVERS 2 · 50%

1 of 4BOTH TEAMS SCORED

2 of 4OVER 1.5 GOALS

2 of 4OVER 2.5 GOALS

1 of 4OVER 3.5 GOALS

2011-12-17Leicester 1 – 2 Doncaster Rovers

2012-04-07Leicester 4 – 0 Doncaster Rovers

2013-10-05Leicester 0 – 1 Doncaster Rovers

2014-05-03Leicester 1 – 0 Doncaster Rovers

TRENDS

Leicester have scored in 80% of their games.

Doncaster Rovers have scored in 80% of their games.

Leicester kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

Doncaster Rovers kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstxG & xGAclean sheetshead to headleague tableteam newscornerscards