Bradford City FC vs Stevenage FC
Match details. League One, Regular Season - 11. Kick-off is Sat 17 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time. It is played at Valley Parade, Bradford.
What's at stake. Bradford City FC are 2nd on 17 points after 9 games, 2 points behind Plymouth, 1 point clear of Stockport County. A win would take them above Plymouth. Stevenage FC are 9th on 12 points after 8 games, 3 points behind Sheffield Wednesday, level on points with Burton Albion. A win would take them level on points with Sheffield Wednesday.
Form. Bradford City FC have won six, drawn two and lost two of their last ten, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W D W W. Stevenage FC have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W L W.
The numbers. Bradford City FC score 1.4 and concede 0.7 a game over their last ten, with five clean sheets and two games without a goal. Bradford City FC average 5.8 shots (2.9 on target), 6.8 corners and 1.8 cards a game, with 51% of the ball. Stevenage FC score 1.9 and concede 1.2 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal. Stevenage FC average 6.5 shots (2.9 on target), 3.9 corners and 1.5 cards a game, with 43% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Bradford City FC have won seven, drawn two and lost one. Five of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in six. In the last four, Bradford City FC won two, one was drawn and Stevenage FC won one. The last time they met, on 11 Apr 2026, it finished Bradford City FC 0-1 Stevenage FC: Bradford City FC had 13 shots to 3, 58% of the ball, five yellow cards.
The case against. Stevenage FC's record still gives them 31% to win.
The read. Bradford City FC to win. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Bradford City FC the likelier winners; Bradford City FC are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 39%.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.24, 72% on the records (Bradford City FC: under 3.5 goals in 7 of 7; Stevenage FC: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 7). Backup: Under 1.5 first-half goals at 1.35. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Under 0.5 first-half goals (the signs point different ways); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Bradford City FC 1-0 Stevenage FC (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).