MKMIL

12:30Sat 17 Oct

LUT

LUT

Milton Keynes Dons vs Luton

CLASS E

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THE READ

Match details. League One, Regular Season - 11. Kick-off is Sat 17 Oct, 12:30 Lagos time. It is played at Stadium MK, Milton Keynes.

What's at stake. Milton Keynes Dons are 23rd on 6 points after 8 games, 1 point behind Notts County, 2 points clear of Wigan. A win would take them above Notts County. Luton are 14th on 11 points after 8 games, level on points with Leyton Orient, 1 point clear of Wycombe. A win would take them above Leyton Orient.

Form. Milton Keynes Dons have won two, drawn six and lost two of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W D D. Luton have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W L L.

The numbers. Milton Keynes Dons score 2.3 and concede 1.5 a game in their last six at home, with one clean sheet. Milton Keynes Dons average 3.9 shots (1.7 on target), 5.0 corners and 1.4 cards a game, with 45% of the ball. Luton score 1.6 and concede 2.2 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets. Luton average 6.6 shots (2.7 on target), 6.2 corners and 2.1 cards a game, with 55% of the ball.

Head to head. The last time they met, on 9 Oct 2018, it finished Milton Keynes Dons 0-3 Luton.

The read. No side to back. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side.

The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Leave: Luton or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Luton or Draw (1UP) (no result call); Luton or draw and over 1.5 goals (no result call). Predicted score: Milton Keynes Dons 1-1 Luton (13% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Under 4.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.19

MIL 6 of 8 (75%) · LUT 5 of 7 (71%)90%

Milton Keynes Dons: under 4.5 goals in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Luton: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 73% · Milton Keynes Dons: only games against sides at Luton's level · Luton: only games against sides at Milton Keynes Dons's level

Over 1.5 GoalsLEANIN CODES

1.21

MIL 6 of 8 (75%) · LUT 6 of 7 (86%)69%

Milton Keynes Dons: over 1.5 goals in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Luton: over 1.5 goals in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · Milton Keynes Dons: only games against sides at Luton's level · Luton: only games against sides at Milton Keynes Dons's level

MILTON KEYNES DONS GOALS

Milton Keynes Dons Over 0.5 goalsLEANIN CODES

1.28

MIL 6 of 8 (75%) · LUT 6 of 7 (86%)68.4%

Milton Keynes Dons scored in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Luton conceded in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · Milton Keynes Dons: only games against sides at Luton's level · Luton: only games against sides at Milton Keynes Dons's level

Milton Keynes Dons Under 1.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.54

MIL 6 of 8 (75%) · LUT 4 of 7 (57%)57.7%

Milton Keynes Dons scored under 1.5 in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Luton conceded under 1.5 in 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 66% · Milton Keynes Dons: only games against sides at Luton's level · Luton: only games against sides at Milton Keynes Dons's level

LUTON GOALS

Luton Over 0.5 goalsLEANIN CODES

1.21

MIL 6 of 7 (86%) · LUT 6 of 8 (75%)67.2%

Luton scored in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Milton Keynes Dons conceded in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · Luton: only games against sides at Milton Keynes Dons's level · Milton Keynes Dons: only games against sides at Luton's level

HALVES

Over 0.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY

1.34

MIL 6 of 8 (75%) · LUT 6 of 7 (86%)80.4%

Milton Keynes Dons: the bet landed in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Luton: the bet landed in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · on half-time scores · Milton Keynes Dons: only games against sides at Luton's level · Luton: only games against sides at Milton Keynes Dons's level

2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5PAGE ONLY

1.19

MIL 6 of 8 (75%) · LUT 5 of 7 (71%)73.2%

Milton Keynes Dons: the bet landed in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Luton: the bet landed in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 73% · on half-time scores · Milton Keynes Dons: only games against sides at Luton's level · Luton: only games against sides at Milton Keynes Dons's level

Left off the list: Luton or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Luton or Draw (1UP) (no result call); Luton or draw and over 1.5 goals (no result call); Double Chance: Draw or Luton (no result call); Luton 1UP (no result call); Luton or draw and both teams score (no result call); Luton or Over 1.5 Goals (no result call); Luton win or both teams score (no result call)

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–1 13.1%

Milton Keynes Dons goals →

Luton goals ↓

0-08%

1-09%

2-06%

3-03%

4-01%

5-00.3%

0-18%

1-113%

2-18%

3-14%

4-11%

5-10.4%

0-26%

1-28%

2-26%

3-23%

4-20.9%

5-20.2%

0-33%

1-33%

2-32%

3-31%

4-30.4%

5-30.1%

0-40.8%

1-41%

2-40.8%

3-40.4%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.2%

1-50.3%

2-50.2%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).

FORM · LAST 10

MILTON KEYNES DONSLWWDDDLDDD1.20 PPG

LUTONWDWLLDWLLD1.20 PPG

THE NUMBERS

MILTON KEYNES DONS HOMExLUTON AWAY

1.12SCORED A GAME2.001.88CONCEDED A GAME1.8820%CLEAN SHEETS20%25%FAILED TO SCORE12%5.00CORNERS A GAME6.251.40CARDS A GAME2.111.39xG1.631.84xG AGAINST1.14

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

0.67POINTS A GAME1.38-1.00GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.12-3.5SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-1.00.6LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.46LEAGUE GAMES8

Luton: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference, better form (last 5).

LUTON 0:2 HANDICAP

–

373 OF 433

NO PRICE YET

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

79%

NO · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

57%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

56%

NO · 85/90

MILTON KEYNES DONS OR DRAW

58%

NO · 80/85

LUTON OR DRAW

74%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (6 and 8 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

MILTON KEYNES DONSxLUTON

5GAMES51.20SCORED A GAME1.602.40CONCEDED A GAME1.003.6GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.680%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%60%OVER 2.5 GOALS40%80%BOTH SCORE60%2.8CARDS IN THEIR GAMES–10.6CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 1

MILTON KEYNES DONS 0 · 0%DRAW 0LUTON 1 · 100%

2018-10-09Milton Keynes Dons 0 – 3 Luton

TRENDS

Milton Keynes Dons have scored in 80% of their games.

Luton have scored in 80% of their games.

Milton Keynes Dons kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

Luton kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstxG & xGAclean sheetshead to headleague tablecornerscards