Match details. Regionalliga Bavaria, Bayern - 14. Kick-off is Tue 13 Oct, 18:00 Lagos time.
Form. TSV Buchbach have won six, drawn three and lost one of their last ten, 2.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L D W W. FC Augsburg II have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L D L.
The numbers. TSV Buchbach score 1.6 and concede one a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. TSV Buchbach average 0.0 cards a game. FC Augsburg II score one and concede 2.3 a game in their last six away, with one clean sheet and three games without a goal. FC Augsburg II average 0.1 cards a game.
The case against. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to an open game. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 64%.
The read. TSV Buchbach to win. A tight game. Their goals for and against make TSV Buchbach the likelier winners; TSV Buchbach are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour TSV Buchbach.
The bets. Best bet: TSV Buchbach or Draw at 1.22, 81% on the records (TSV Buchbach unbeaten in 4 of 5 at home; FC Augsburg II failed to win 5 of 6 away). Leave: Under 3.5 Goals (TSV Buchbach are a clear winner, no Unders); FC Augsburg II Under 1.5 goals (FC Augsburg II's own games don't back it (3 of 6)); Under 4.5 Goals (TSV Buchbach are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: TSV Buchbach 2-0 FC Augsburg II (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).