Al-Hazm vs Al-Fateh SC
Match details. Saudi Pro League, Regular Season - 9. Kick-off is Thu 15 Oct, 16:15 Lagos time. It is played at Al Hazm Club Stadium, Ar Rass.
What's at stake. Al-Hazm are 10th on 9 points after 8 games, 2 points behind Al Diriyah, level on points with Al Riyadh. A win would take them above Al Diriyah. Al-Fateh SC are 16th on 3 points after 8 games, level on points with Al-Faisaly FC, level on points with Al Taawon. A win would take them above Al-Faisaly FC.
Form. Al-Hazm have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L W D D. Al-Fateh SC have won none, drawn four and lost six of their last ten, 0.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L D D.
The numbers. Al-Hazm score one and concede 0.6 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. Al-Hazm average 8.0 shots (3.1 on target), 4.2 corners and 2.7 cards a game, with 47% of the ball. Al-Fateh SC score 0.5 and concede 1.8 a game in their last six away, with two clean sheets and four games without a goal. Al-Fateh SC average 9.2 shots (3.8 on target), 3.8 corners and 1.7 cards a game, with 44% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Al-Hazm have won three, drawn two and lost five. Four of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, Al-Hazm won one, two were drawn and Al-Fateh SC won one. The last time they met, on 1 Feb 2026, it finished Al-Hazm 1-1 Al-Fateh SC: Al-Hazm had 10 shots to 13, 39% of the ball, six yellow cards.
The read. Al-Hazm to win. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Al-Hazm the likelier winners; Al-Hazm are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 24%. Six of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Al-Hazm or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Al-Hazm 1-0 Al-Fateh SC (12% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).