VNVIL

22:00Sun 18 Oct

GRE

Vila Nova FC GO vs Gremio Novorizontino SP

CLASS E

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THE READ

Match details. Brasileiro Serie B. Kick-off is Sun 18 Oct, 22:00 Lagos time.

Form. Vila Nova FC GO have won six, drawn three and lost one of their last ten, 2.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W W W. Gremio Novorizontino SP have won seven, drawn two and lost one of their last ten, 2.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W D L.

The numbers. Vila Nova FC GO score 1.4 and concede none a game in their last five at home, with five clean sheets. Vila Nova FC GO average 5.0 corners and 2.6 cards a game. Gremio Novorizontino SP score 2.4 and concede 0.8 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets. Gremio Novorizontino SP average 6.2 corners and 1.9 cards a game.

The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 37%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Vila Nova FC GO 1-1 Gremio Novorizontino SP (13% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

VILA NOVA FC GO GOALS

Vila Nova FC GO Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES

1.39

VIL 4 of 5 (80%) · GRE 7 of 10 (70%)72%

Vila Nova FC GO scored in 4 of 5 at home · Gremio Novorizontino SP conceded in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 70% · Vila Nova FC GO: only games against sides at Gremio Novorizontino SP's level · Gremio Novorizontino SP: only games against sides at Vila Nova FC GO's level

Left off the list: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–1 13.3%

Vila Nova FC GO goals →

Gremio Novorizontino… goals ↓

0-08%

1-09%

2-06%

3-03%

4-00.8%

5-00.2%

0-19%

1-113%

2-18%

3-13%

4-11%

5-10.3%

0-26%

1-28%

2-25%

3-22%

4-20.7%

5-20.2%

0-33%

1-34%

2-32%

3-31.0%

4-30.3%

5-30.1%

0-40.9%

1-41%

2-40.8%

3-40.3%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.2%

1-50.3%

2-50.2%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10

VILA NOVA FC GOWDWWWDWLWD2.10 PPG

GREMIO NOVORIZONTINO SPWWWDLDWWWW2.30 PPG

THE NUMBERS

VILA NOVA FC GO HOMExGREMIO NOVORIZONTINO SP AWAY

1.39SCORED A GAME1.790.94CONCEDED A GAME0.8510%BOTH SCORED70%80%CLEAN SHEETS30%4.97CORNERS A GAME6.152.64CARDS A GAME1.94

THE BANK

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

82%

OKAY · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

42%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

100%

VERY GOOD · 85/90

VILA NOVA FC GO OR DRAW

92%

VERY GOOD · 80/85

GREMIO NOVORIZONTINO SP OR DRAW

22%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (11 and 4 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

TRENDS

Vila Nova FC GO have scored in 70% of their games.

Gremio Novorizontino SP have scored in 90% of their games.

Vila Nova FC GO kept a clean sheet in 80% of their games.

Gremio Novorizontino SP kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards