Match details. Brasileiro Serie B. Kick-off is Sun 18 Oct, 20:00 Lagos time.
Form. Sao Bernardo FC have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L W D W. Criciuma EC SC have won four, drawn none and lost six of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W W L.
The numbers. Sao Bernardo FC score 1.4 and concede one a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets. Sao Bernardo FC average 4.9 corners and 2.2 cards a game. Criciuma EC SC score 0.9 and concede 1.3 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets and five games without a goal. Criciuma EC SC average 6.9 corners and 2.4 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: Criciuma EC SC are the stronger side on form and the table, but both teams' records favour Sao Bernardo FC.
The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 40%.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.20, 75% on the records (Sao Bernardo FC: under 3.5 goals in 8 of 10; Criciuma EC SC: under 3.5 goals in 9 of 10). Leave: Sao Bernardo FC or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Criciuma EC SC or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Sao Bernardo FC 1-1 Criciuma EC SC (14% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).