CNCLU

00:00Fri 16 Oct

CAR

Club Nacional de Football vs CA Rentistas

CLASS D

THE READ

Match details. Copa Uruguay, Round of 16. Kick-off is Fri 16 Oct, 00:00 Lagos time. It is played at Gran Parque Central, Montevideo.

What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.

Form. Club Nacional de Football have won seven, drawn three and lost none of their last ten, 2.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W W W. CA Rentistas have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L W L.

The numbers. Club Nacional de Football score 1.6 and concede 0.7 a game over their last ten, with six clean sheets. Club Nacional de Football average 7.8 shots (3.4 on target), 6.5 corners and 2.7 cards a game. CA Rentistas score 0.8 and concede 0.7 a game in their last six away, with three clean sheets and three games without a goal. CA Rentistas average 9.4 shots (4.7 on target), 5.9 corners and 3.4 cards a game.

Head to head. In the last ten meetings Club Nacional de Football have won four, drawn three and lost three. Five of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, Club Nacional de Football won two and two were drawn. The last time they met, on 5 Aug 2022, it finished Club Nacional de Football 3-0 CA Rentistas: Club Nacional de Football had 16 shots to 1, six yellow cards.

Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 70% against the records' 47%.

The read. No firm call: Club Nacional de Football are the better side, but not at this price. A tight game. Club Nacional de Football are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Club Nacional de Football. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 38%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Club Nacional de Football Over 0.5 Goals (CA Rentistas's own games don't back it (3 of 6)); 1X2 - 2UP: Club Nacional de Football (the signs point different ways); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Club Nacional de Football 1-0 CA Rentistas (15% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

Double Chance: Club Nacional de Football or DrawIN CODES

1.10

CLU 10 of 10 (100%) · CAR 4 of 6 (67%)83.6%

Club Nacional de Football unbeaten in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · CA Rentistas failed to win 4 of 6 away · both last 10: 75% · H2H 5 of 6

Club Nacional de Football or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

CLU 9 of 10 (90%) · CAR 5 of 6 (83%)78.8%

Club Nacional de Football: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · CA Rentistas: the bet landed in 5 of 6 away · both last 10: 75% · H2H 5 of 6

Club Nacional de Football (Draw No Bet)PAGE ONLY

1.14

CLU 7 of 7 (100%) · CAR 3 of 8 (38%)72.4%

Club Nacional de Football won 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · CA Rentistas lost 3 of 8 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · both last 10: 69% · H2H 2 of 3 · won 4, refunded 4, lost 2

Club Nacional de Football 1UPLEANPAGE ONLY

1.28

CLU 5 of 5 (100%) · CAR 9 of 10 (90%)69%

Club Nacional de Football scored first 4 of last 5, led in 5 · led in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · CA Rentistas trailed in 1 of 5 away

GOALS

Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

CLU 10 of 10 (100%) · CAR 6 of 6 (100%)100%

Club Nacional de Football: under 5.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · CA Rentistas: under 5.5 goals in 6 of 6 away · both last 10: 100% · H2H 6 of 6

Under 4.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.09

CLU 8 of 10 (80%) · CAR 6 of 6 (100%)93.4%

Club Nacional de Football: under 4.5 goals in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · CA Rentistas: under 4.5 goals in 6 of 6 away · both last 10: 90% · H2H 6 of 6

Under 3.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

1.40

CLU 7 of 10 (70%) · CAR 5 of 6 (83%)71.9%

Club Nacional de Football: under 3.5 goals in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · CA Rentistas: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 6 away · both last 10: 80% · H2H 4 of 6

Under 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

2.10

CLU 7 of 10 (70%) · CAR 4 of 6 (67%)54%

Club Nacional de Football: under 2.5 goals in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · CA Rentistas: under 2.5 goals in 4 of 6 away · both last 10: 60% · H2H 3 of 6

CA RENTISTAS GOALS

CA Rentistas Under 1.5 goalsIN CODES

1.12

CLU 5 of 6 (83%) · CAR 7 of 10 (70%)72.2%

CA Rentistas scored under 1.5 in 5 of 6 away · Club Nacional de Football conceded under 1.5 in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 65% · H2H 5 of 6

CARDS

Over 3.5 CardsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

CLU 8 of 10 (80%) · CAR 5 of 5 (100%)90%

Club Nacional de Football's games: over 3.5 cards in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · CA Rentistas's games: over 3.5 cards in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 90%

Left off the list: Club Nacional de Football Over 0.5 Goals (CA Rentistas's own games don't back it (3 of 6)); 1X2 - 2UP: Club Nacional de Football (the numbers (44%) and the records (63%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–0 15.1%

Club Nacional de… goals →

CA Rentistas goals ↓

0-014%

1-015%

2-09%

3-04%

4-01%

5-00.2%

0-110%

1-114%

2-18%

3-13%

4-10.9%

5-10.2%

0-25%

1-25%

2-23%

3-21%

4-20.4%

5-20.1%

0-31%

1-31%

2-30.9%

3-30.3%

4-30.1%

5-30.0%

0-40.3%

1-40.3%

2-40.2%

3-40.1%

4-40.0%

5-40.0%

0-50.0%

1-50.1%

2-50.0%

3-50.0%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10

CLUB NACIONAL DE FOOTBALLDWWDDWWWWW2.40 PPG

CA RENTISTASDDWWWLWLWL1.70 PPG

THE NUMBERS

CLUB NACIONAL DE FOOTBALL HOMExCA RENTISTAS AWAY

1.60SCORED A GAME1.100.70CONCEDED A GAME0.9060%CLEAN SHEETS30%33%FAILED TO SCORE67%6.50CORNERS A GAME5.862.70CARDS A GAME3.43

THE BANK

THE BANKER MENU

OVER 1.5 CARDS

–

543 OF 573

NO PRICE YET

Both sides' last 5 games point to 5.2+ cards.

Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.

THE QUALITY READ

2.33POINTS A GAME2.17+1.00GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.50+0.3SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+1.82.2LAST 5: POINTS A GAME2.46LEAGUE GAMES6

No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

77%

NO · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

42%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

95%

VERY GOOD · 85/90

CLUB NACIONAL DE FOOTBALL OR DRAW

71%

NO · 80/85

CA RENTISTAS OR DRAW

68%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (6 and 6 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

CLUB NACIONAL DE FOOTBALLxCA RENTISTAS

5GAMES52.00SCORED A GAME1.601.00CONCEDED A GAME1.003.0GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.6100%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%40%OVER 2.5 GOALS60%60%BOTH SCORE60%5.4CARDS IN THEIR GAMES–10.4CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 10

CLUB NACIONAL DE FOOTBALL 4 · 40%DRAW 3CA RENTISTAS 3 · 30%

5 of 10BOTH TEAMS SCORED

9 of 10OVER 1.5 GOALS

5 of 10OVER 2.5 GOALS

4 of 10OVER 3.5 GOALS

2015-04-26Club Nacional de Football 4 – 2 CA Rentistas

2015-11-29Club Nacional de Football 3 – 2 CA Rentistas

2016-05-28Club Nacional de Football 0 – 2 CA Rentistas

2020-02-16Club Nacional de Football 0 – 2 CA Rentistas

2020-10-14Club Nacional de Football 0 – 1 CA Rentistas

2021-01-17Club Nacional de Football 1 – 1 CA Rentistas

2021-06-27Club Nacional de Football 1 – 1 CA Rentistas

2021-10-24Club Nacional de Football 2 – 2 CA Rentistas

TRENDS

Club Nacional de Football have scored in 90% of their games.

CA Rentistas have scored in 60% of their games.

Club Nacional de Football kept a clean sheet in 60% of their games.

CA Rentistas kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetshead to headleague tablecornerscards