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ESTONIA - ESILIIGA
FC Tallinn crestFTFCT
17:00Thu 15 Oct
TARTartu JK Welco crestTJ

FC Tallinn vs Tartu JK Welco

CLASS E
THE BETSTRONG · 10-ODDS · 100-ODDS ·…
82
DOUBLE CHANCE
Class E
FC Tallinn crestFTvTartu JK Welco crestTJ
Double Chance: Draw or Tartu JK…
FC Tallinn v Tartu JK Welco
Estonia - Esiliiga · 17:00
1.16odds
86%book
-4edge
2/2angles
THE READ

Match details. Esiliiga, Regular Season - 32. Kick-off is Thu 15 Oct, 17:00 Lagos time.

What's at stake. FC Tallinn are 9th on 35 points after 31 games, 1 point behind Nõmme United II, 12 points clear of Nõmme Kalju II. A win would take them above Nõmme United II. Tartu JK Welco are 1st on 65 points after 31 games, 12 points clear of Viimsi. FC Tallinn have nothing left to play for.

Form. FC Tallinn have won two, drawn three and lost four of their last nine, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D L W L. In this competition FC Tallinn have gone W D L W L L. Tartu JK Welco have won six, drawn two and lost two of their last ten, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W D D. In this competition Tartu JK Welco have gone W W W D D L.

The numbers. FC Tallinn score one and concede 1.7 a game over their last nine, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal. Tartu JK Welco score 1.6 and concede one a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets.

Head to head. In the last nine meetings FC Tallinn have won one, drawn two and lost six. Five of the nine went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, FC Tallinn won one, one was drawn and Tartu JK Welco won two. The last time they met, on 18 Jul 2026, it finished FC Tallinn 2-0 Tartu JK Welco.

Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their records put over 2.5 goals at 48%; five of the last nine meetings went over 2.5.

The case against. FC Tallinn's record still gives them 20% to win.

The read. Tartu JK Welco to win. Their goals for and against make Tartu JK Welco the likelier winners; Tartu JK Welco are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Tartu JK Welco; the meetings favour Tartu JK Welco.

The bets. Best bet: Draw or Tartu JK Welco at 1.13, 80% on the records (Tartu JK Welco unbeaten in 4 of 5 away; FC Tallinn failed to win 7 of 9). Leave: Tartu JK Welco Over 1.5 Goals (Tartu JK Welco's own games don't back it (2 of 5)); Under 4.5 Goals (Tartu JK Welco are a clear winner, no Unders); Under 5.5 Goals (Tartu JK Welco are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: FC Tallinn 0-1 Tartu JK Welco (10% chance).

PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Tartu JK Welco or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
FCT 4 of 5 (80%) · TAR 9 of 9 (100%)94.6%
Tartu JK Welco: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · FC Tallinn: the bet landed in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 95% · H2H 6 of 6 · Tartu JK Welco: only games against sides at FC Tallinn's level · FC Tallinn: only games against sides at Tartu JK Welco's level
Tartu JK Welco or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
FCT 4 of 5 (80%) · TAR 7 of 9 (78%)82.5%
Tartu JK Welco: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · FC Tallinn: the bet landed in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 79% · H2H 5 of 6 · Tartu JK Welco: only games against sides at FC Tallinn's level · FC Tallinn: only games against sides at Tartu JK Welco's level
Double Chance: Draw or Tartu JK WelcoMAININ CODES
1.16
FCT 4 of 5 (80%) · TAR 7 of 9 (78%)82.5%
Tartu JK Welco unbeaten in 4 of 5 away · FC Tallinn failed to win 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 79% · H2H 5 of 6 · Tartu JK Welco: only games against sides at FC Tallinn's level · FC Tallinn: only games against sides at Tartu JK Welco's level
Tartu JK Welco (Draw No Bet)IN CODES
1.22
FCT 6 of 8 (75%) · TAR 4 of 6 (67%)76.5%
Tartu JK Welco won 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · FC Tallinn lost 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · both last 10: 71% · H2H 4 of 5 · Tartu JK Welco: only games against sides at FC Tallinn's level · FC Tallinn: only games against sides at Tartu JK Welco's level · won 4, refunded 3, lost 1
Tartu JK Welco or Over 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
FCT 3 of 5 (60%) · TAR 6 of 9 (67%)74.4%
Tartu JK Welco: the bet landed in 3 of 5 away · FC Tallinn: the bet landed in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 73% · H2H 5 of 6 · Tartu JK Welco: only games against sides at FC Tallinn's level · FC Tallinn: only games against sides at Tartu JK Welco's level
Tartu JK Welco to WinLEANPAGE ONLY
1.43
FCT 2 of 5 (40%) · TAR 4 of 9 (44%)56.9%
Tartu JK Welco won 2 of 5 away · FC Tallinn lost 4 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 52% · H2H 4 of 6 · Tartu JK Welco: only games against sides at FC Tallinn's level · FC Tallinn: only games against sides at Tartu JK Welco's level
Tartu JK Welco Win & Over 1.5LEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
FCT 2 of 5 (40%) · TAR 3 of 9 (33%)53.4%
Tartu JK Welco: the bet landed in 2 of 5 away · FC Tallinn: the bet landed in 3 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 47% · H2H 4 of 6 · Tartu JK Welco: only games against sides at FC Tallinn's level · FC Tallinn: only games against sides at Tartu JK Welco's level
GOALS
Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
FCT 9 of 9 (100%) · TAR 4 of 5 (80%)94.6%
FC Tallinn: over 0.5 goals in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Tartu JK Welco: over 0.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 95% · H2H 6 of 6 · FC Tallinn: only games against sides at Tartu JK Welco's level · Tartu JK Welco: only games against sides at FC Tallinn's level
Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
FCT 8 of 9 (89%) · TAR 4 of 5 (80%)90.9%
FC Tallinn: over 1.5 goals in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Tartu JK Welco: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 89% · H2H 6 of 6 · FC Tallinn: only games against sides at Tartu JK Welco's level · Tartu JK Welco: only games against sides at FC Tallinn's level
BOTH TEAMS SCORE
Both Teams to Score - YesLEANPAGE ONLY
1.35
FCT 7 of 9 (78%) · TAR 3 of 5 (60%)58.8%
FC Tallinn: both scored in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Tartu JK Welco: both scored in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 69% · H2H 2 of 6 · FC Tallinn: only games against sides at Tartu JK Welco's level · Tartu JK Welco: only games against sides at FC Tallinn's level
FC TALLINN GOALS
FC Tallinn Over 0.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
FCT 7 of 9 (78%) · TAR 3 of 5 (60%)62.4%
FC Tallinn scored in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Tartu JK Welco conceded in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 69% · H2H 3 of 6 · FC Tallinn: only games against sides at Tartu JK Welco's level · Tartu JK Welco: only games against sides at FC Tallinn's level
TARTU JK WELCO GOALS
Tartu JK Welco Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
FCT 4 of 5 (80%) · TAR 9 of 9 (100%)90.9%
Tartu JK Welco scored in 4 of 5 away · FC Tallinn conceded in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 95% · H2H 5 of 6 · Tartu JK Welco: only games against sides at FC Tallinn's level · FC Tallinn: only games against sides at Tartu JK Welco's level
HALVES
1st Half Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
FCT 7 of 9 (78%) · TAR 4 of 5 (80%)81.3%
FC Tallinn: the bet landed in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Tartu JK Welco: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 84% · H2H 5 of 6 · on half-time scores · FC Tallinn: only games against sides at Tartu JK Welco's level · Tartu JK Welco: only games against sides at FC Tallinn's level
Left off the list: Tartu JK Welco Over 1.5 Goals (Tartu JK Welco's own games don't back it (2 of 5)); Under 4.5 Goals (Tartu JK Welco are a clear winner - no Unders); Under 5.5 Goals (Tartu JK Welco are a clear winner - no Unders)
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 0–1 10.5%
FC Tallinn goals →
Tartu JK Welco goals ↓
0-08%
1-07%
2-04%
3-01%
4-00.3%
5-00.1%
0-111%
1-112%
2-16%
3-12%
4-10.6%
5-10.1%
0-29%
1-210%
2-25%
3-22%
4-20.5%
5-20.1%
0-35%
1-35%
2-33%
3-30.9%
4-30.2%
5-30.1%
0-42%
1-42%
2-41%
3-40.4%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.7%
1-50.7%
2-50.4%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).

FORM · LAST 10
FC TALLINNDLDLLWLDW1.00 PPG
TARTU JK WELCOLWWWLDDWWW2.00 PPG
THE NUMBERS
FC TALLINN HOMExTARTU JK WELCO AWAY
1.00SCORED A GAME2.201.67CONCEDED A GAME1.100%CLEAN SHEETS40%33%FAILED TO SCORE13%
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
TARTU JK WELCO TO SCORE
–
136 OF 144
NO PRICE YET
The tips call a clear winner in a league averaging 2.9+ goals a game.
DRAW OR TARTU JK WELCO (1UP)
–
137 OF 146
NO PRICE YET
The tips call a clear winner and every tip has the favourite winning by 2+.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
1.40POINTS A GAME1.38-0.20GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+1.00–SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-2.01.4LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.45LEAGUE GAMES8
Tartu JK Welco: the quality side - a better goal difference.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
FC TALLINNxTARTU JK WELCO
5GAMES51.00SCORED A GAME1.801.20CONCEDED A GAME1.202.2GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.080%OVER 1.5 GOALS100%40%OVER 2.5 GOALS60%40%BOTH SCORE60%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 9
FC TALLINN 1 · 11%DRAW 2TARTU JK WELCO 6 · 67%
5 of 9BOTH TEAMS SCORED
9 of 9OVER 1.5 GOALS
5 of 9OVER 2.5 GOALS
5 of 9OVER 3.5 GOALS
2024-08-20FC Tallinn 1 – 3 Tartu JK Welco
2024-11-03FC Tallinn 1 – 1 Tartu JK Welco
2025-03-29FC Tallinn 1 – 3 Tartu JK Welco
2025-07-05FC Tallinn 1 – 5 Tartu JK Welco
2025-08-23FC Tallinn 0 – 2 Tartu JK Welco
2025-09-21FC Tallinn 2 – 2 Tartu JK Welco
2026-05-01FC Tallinn 0 – 2 Tartu JK Welco
2026-06-13FC Tallinn 0 – 4 Tartu JK Welco
TRENDS
FC Tallinn failed to score in 33% of their games.
Tartu JK Welco failed to score in 13% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againsthead to headleague table
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