CA Boston River vs CA River Plate (URU)

Match details. Copa Uruguay, Round of 16. Kick-off is Wed 14 Oct, 19:30 Lagos time. It is played at Parque Artigas, Las Piedras.

What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.

Form. CA Boston River have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D L W L. CA River Plate (URU) have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W D D.

The numbers. CA Boston River score 1.4 and concede one a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. CA Boston River average 9.2 shots (3.2 on target), 4.1 corners and 2.2 cards a game. CA River Plate (URU) score 1.4 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets. CA River Plate (URU) average 7.6 shots (3.4 on target), 5.1 corners and 3.4 cards a game.

Head to head. In the last nine meetings CA Boston River have won six, drawn one and lost two. Four of the nine went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in four. In the last four, CA Boston River won four. The last time they met, on 6 Sep 2025, it finished CA Boston River 2-0 CA River Plate (URU).

The case against. A knockout game (Round of 16) with penalties if level, and CA Boston River are not clearly stronger. CA River Plate (URU)'s record still gives them 23% to win.

The read. CA Boston River or the draw. A tight game. Both teams' records favour CA Boston River; the meetings favour CA Boston River. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 45%. Five of the last nine meetings went under 2.5.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); CA River Plate (URU) or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); CA Boston River or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: CA Boston River 1-1 CA River Plate (URU) (13% chance).