AYARA

17:00Sat 17 Oct

FCS

Ararat Yerevan FC vs FC Shirak Gyumri

CLASS D

THE READ

Match details. Premier League, Regular Season - 10. Kick-off is Sat 17 Oct, 17:00 Lagos time. It is played at Vazgen Sargsyan Republican Stadium, Yerevan.

What's at stake. Ararat Yerevan FC are 8th on 10 points after 9 games, level on points with Shirak, 2 points clear of BKMA. A win would take them above Shirak. FC Shirak Gyumri are 7th on 10 points after 9 games, 2 points behind FC Urartu, level on points with Ararat. A win would take them above FC Urartu.

Form. Ararat Yerevan FC have won three, drawn one and lost five of their last nine, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W W L L. In this competition Ararat Yerevan FC have gone D W W L L L. FC Shirak Gyumri have won three, drawn one and lost five of their last nine, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L W W. In this competition FC Shirak Gyumri have gone L L L W W L.

The numbers. Ararat Yerevan FC score 0.9 and concede 1.7 a game over their last nine, with two clean sheets and four games without a goal. Ararat Yerevan FC average 8.2 shots (2.4 on target), 5.1 corners and 3.0 cards a game. FC Shirak Gyumri score one and concede 0.8 a game in their last five away, with three clean sheets and three games without a goal. FC Shirak Gyumri average 8.7 shots (3.6 on target), 5.2 corners and 2.1 cards a game.

Head to head. In the last eight meetings Ararat Yerevan FC have won four, drawn one and lost three. Four of the eight went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in four. In the last four, Ararat Yerevan FC won two, one was drawn and FC Shirak Gyumri won one. The last time they met, on 1 May 2026, it finished Ararat Yerevan FC 2-0 FC Shirak Gyumri.

The case against. Ararat Yerevan FC's record still gives them 38% to win.

The read. FC Shirak Gyumri to win. A tight game. FC Shirak Gyumri are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour FC Shirak Gyumri. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 47%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Ararat Yerevan FC 0-1 FC Shirak Gyumri (8% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

ARA 9 of 9 (100%) · FCS 5 of 5 (100%)95.3%

Ararat Yerevan FC: under 5.5 goals in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · FC Shirak Gyumri: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 94% · H2H 5 of 6 · Ararat Yerevan FC: only games against sides at FC Shirak Gyumri's level · FC Shirak Gyumri: only games against sides at Ararat Yerevan FC's level

Under 4.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.10

ARA 9 of 9 (100%) · FCS 5 of 5 (100%)88.2%

Ararat Yerevan FC: under 4.5 goals in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · FC Shirak Gyumri: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 94% · H2H 5 of 6 · Ararat Yerevan FC: only games against sides at FC Shirak Gyumri's level · FC Shirak Gyumri: only games against sides at Ararat Yerevan FC's level

Left off the list: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 0–1 7.7%

Ararat Yerevan FC goals →

FC Shirak Gyumri goals ↓

0-08%

1-011%

2-08%

3-04%

4-01%

5-00.4%

0-18%

1-113%

2-19%

3-14%

4-12%

5-10.5%

0-25%

1-27%

2-25%

3-22%

4-20.9%

5-20.3%

0-32%

1-33%

2-32%

3-30.9%

4-30.3%

5-30.1%

0-40.5%

1-40.7%

2-40.5%

3-40.2%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.1%

1-50.2%

2-50.1%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).

FORM · LAST 9

ARARAT YEREVAN FCLLWLLLWWD1.11 PPG

FC SHIRAK GYUMRIDLWLWWLLL1.11 PPG

THE NUMBERS

ARARAT YEREVAN FC HOMExFC SHIRAK GYUMRI AWAY

0.89SCORED A GAME1.221.67CONCEDED A GAME1.3322%CLEAN SHEETS44%44%FAILED TO SCORE44%5.10CORNERS A GAME5.223.00CARDS A GAME2.11

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

0.88POINTS A GAME1.29-1.00GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.00-2.0SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+0.51.4LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.28LEAGUE GAMES7

FC Shirak Gyumri: the quality side - a better goal difference.

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

65%

NO · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

32%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

99%

VERY GOOD · 85/90

ARARAT YEREVAN FC OR DRAW

37%

NO · 80/85

FC SHIRAK GYUMRI OR DRAW

63%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (8 and 7 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

ARARAT YEREVAN FCxFC SHIRAK GYUMRI

5GAMES51.00SCORED A GAME1.401.40CONCEDED A GAME1.402.4GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.860%OVER 1.5 GOALS100%40%OVER 2.5 GOALS40%20%BOTH SCORE20%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 8

ARARAT YEREVAN FC 4 · 50%DRAW 1FC SHIRAK GYUMRI 3 · 38%

4 of 8BOTH TEAMS SCORED

6 of 8OVER 1.5 GOALS

4 of 8OVER 2.5 GOALS

2 of 8OVER 3.5 GOALS

2024-03-15Ararat Yerevan FC 2 – 0 FC Shirak Gyumri

2024-05-15Ararat Yerevan FC 1 – 0 FC Shirak Gyumri

2024-08-17Ararat Yerevan FC 1 – 2 FC Shirak Gyumri

2025-04-04Ararat Yerevan FC 1 – 2 FC Shirak Gyumri

2025-04-08Ararat Yerevan FC 3 – 1 FC Shirak Gyumri

2025-09-12Ararat Yerevan FC 2 – 4 FC Shirak Gyumri

2025-11-09Ararat Yerevan FC 0 – 0 FC Shirak Gyumri

2026-05-01Ararat Yerevan FC 2 – 0 FC Shirak Gyumri

TRENDS

Ararat Yerevan FC have scored in 60% of their games.

FC Shirak Gyumri have scored in 50% of their games.

Ararat Yerevan FC failed to score in 44% of their games.

FC Shirak Gyumri failed to score in 44% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againsthead to headleague tablecornerscards