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Kashiwa Reysol vs Port FC

CLASS D
THE READ

Match details. Th1. Kick-off is Wed 14 Oct, 11:00 Lagos time.

Form. Kashiwa Reysol have won six, drawn one and lost three of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W W L. Port FC have won six, drawn one and lost three of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L L W.

The numbers. Kashiwa Reysol score 2.6 and concede 1.6 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. Kashiwa Reysol average 12.1 shots (5.4 on target), 6.0 corners and 1.1 cards a game, with 58% of the ball. Port FC score 1.8 and concede 1.3 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets. Port FC average 9.7 shots (4.0 on target), 4.0 corners and 1.8 cards a game, with 59% of the ball.

Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 85% against the records' 45%.

The read. No firm call: Kashiwa Reysol are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make Kashiwa Reysol the likelier winners; Kashiwa Reysol are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Kashiwa Reysol. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 78%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 6.5 Corners (the signs point different ways). Predicted score: Kashiwa Reysol 2-1 Port FC (9% chance).

PICKSONE LIST
HALVES
Over 0.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY
1.20
KAS 5 of 5 (100%) · POR 7 of 10 (70%)83.3%
Kashiwa Reysol: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · Port FC: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · on half-time scores
Left off the list: Over 6.5 Corners (the numbers (49%) and the records (73%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it)
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 2–1 9.4%
Kashiwa Reysol goals →
Port FC goals ↓
0-04%
1-08%
2-010%
3-09%
4-05%
5-03%
0-13%
1-18%
2-19%
3-18%
4-15%
5-12%
0-21%
1-23%
2-24%
3-24%
4-22%
5-21%
0-30.4%
1-31%
2-31%
3-31%
4-30.7%
5-30.3%
0-40.1%
1-40.2%
2-40.3%
3-40.3%
4-40.2%
5-40.1%
0-50.0%
1-50.0%
2-50.1%
3-50.0%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).

FORM · LAST 10
KASHIWA REYSOLWDWWLWLLWW1.90 PPG
PORT FCWLLLWWWWWD1.90 PPG
THE NUMBERS
KASHIWA REYSOL HOMExPORT FC AWAY
2.20SCORED A GAME1.801.60CONCEDED A GAME1.304%CLEAN SHEETS33%6.00CORNERS A GAME4.001.11CARDS A GAME1.80
THE BANK
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
93%
VERY GOOD · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
72%
OKAY · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
59%
NO · 85/90
KASHIWA REYSOL OR DRAW
82%
OKAY · 80/85
PORT FC OR DRAW
22%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (9 and 4 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
TRENDS
Kashiwa Reysol have scored in 80% of their games.
Port FC have scored in 90% of their games.
Kashiwa Reysol kept a clean sheet in 4% of their games.
Port FC kept a clean sheet in 33% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards
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