PVPIR

02:00Sun 18 Oct

TEP

Piratas Veracruz vs Tepatitlan FC

CLASS E

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THE BETLIVELY · 10-ODDS · 100-ODDS ·…

TOTAL GOALS

Class E

PVv

Over 1.5 Goals

Piratas Veracruz v Tepatitlan FC

Mexico - Liga de… · 02:00

1.09odds

92%book

-13edge

1/1angles

THE READ

Match details. Liga de Expansion MX, Apertura - 13. Kick-off is Sun 18 Oct, 02:00 Lagos time. The referee is E. A. Ramirez Gutierrez.

What's at stake. Piratas Veracruz are 7th on 18 points after 12 games, level on points with Cancún, level on points with Durango. A win would take them above Cancún. Tepatitlan FC are 16th on 7 points after 12 games, 4 points behind Cruz Azul Hidalgo.

Form. Piratas Veracruz have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L W D. In this competition Piratas Veracruz have gone L W L W D W. Tepatitlan FC have won two, drawn one and lost seven of their last ten, 0.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D W L L. In this competition Tepatitlan FC have gone L D W L L L.

The numbers. Piratas Veracruz score 1.7 and concede 1.4 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal. Piratas Veracruz average 6.7 corners and 3.0 cards a game. Tepatitlan FC score 0.9 and concede three a game over their last ten, with no clean sheets and five games without a goal. Tepatitlan FC average 4.3 corners and 3.2 cards a game.

Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 85% against the records' 55%.

The read. No firm call: Piratas Veracruz are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make Piratas Veracruz the likelier winners; Piratas Veracruz are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Piratas Veracruz. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 65%.

The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.14, 79% on the records (Piratas Veracruz: over 1.5 goals in 9 of 10; Tepatitlan FC: over 1.5 goals in 8 of 10). Full cover: Tepatitlan FC Under 1.5 Goals at 1.17. It wins on every score where the best bet loses. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Piratas Veracruz 2-1 Tepatitlan FC (10% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

Piratas Veracruz or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

PIR 9 of 10 (90%) · TEP 10 of 10 (100%)95%

Piratas Veracruz: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Tepatitlan FC: the bet landed in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 95% · Piratas Veracruz: only games against sides at Tepatitlan FC's level · Tepatitlan FC: only games against sides at Piratas Veracruz's level

Piratas Veracruz or Over 2.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.12

PIR 6 of 10 (60%) · TEP 9 of 10 (90%)75%

Piratas Veracruz: the bet landed in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Tepatitlan FC: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · Piratas Veracruz: only games against sides at Tepatitlan FC's level · Tepatitlan FC: only games against sides at Piratas Veracruz's level

GOALS

Over 1.5 GoalsMAININ CODES

1.09

PIR 9 of 10 (90%) · TEP 8 of 10 (80%)79.2%

Piratas Veracruz: over 1.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Tepatitlan FC: over 1.5 goals in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85% · Piratas Veracruz: only games against sides at Tepatitlan FC's level · Tepatitlan FC: only games against sides at Piratas Veracruz's level

Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.48

PIR 6 of 10 (60%) · TEP 7 of 10 (70%)55.6%

Piratas Veracruz: over 2.5 goals in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Tepatitlan FC: over 2.5 goals in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 65% · Piratas Veracruz: only games against sides at Tepatitlan FC's level · Tepatitlan FC: only games against sides at Piratas Veracruz's level

PIRATAS VERACRUZ GOALS

Piratas Veracruz Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

PIR 7 of 10 (70%) · TEP 10 of 10 (100%)86.1%

Piratas Veracruz scored in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Tepatitlan FC conceded in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85% · Piratas Veracruz: only games against sides at Tepatitlan FC's level · Tepatitlan FC: only games against sides at Piratas Veracruz's level

TEPATITLAN FC GOALS

Tepatitlan FC Under 1.5 goalsFULL COVERIN CODES

1.17

PIR 8 of 10 (80%) · TEP 7 of 10 (70%)76%

Tepatitlan FC scored under 1.5 in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Piratas Veracruz conceded under 1.5 in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · Tepatitlan FC: only games against sides at Piratas Veracruz's level · Piratas Veracruz: only games against sides at Tepatitlan FC's level

HALVES

Over 0.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY

1.17

PIR 9 of 10 (90%) · TEP 7 of 10 (70%)80%

Piratas Veracruz: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Tepatitlan FC: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · on half-time scores · Piratas Veracruz: only games against sides at Tepatitlan FC's level · Tepatitlan FC: only games against sides at Piratas Veracruz's level

2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5PAGE ONLY

1.11

PIR 6 of 10 (60%) · TEP 10 of 10 (100%)80%

Piratas Veracruz: the bet landed in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Tepatitlan FC: the bet landed in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · on half-time scores · Piratas Veracruz: only games against sides at Tepatitlan FC's level · Tepatitlan FC: only games against sides at Piratas Veracruz's level

Left off the list: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 2–1 9.9%

Piratas Veracruz goals →

Tepatitlan FC goals ↓

0-06%

1-010%

2-011%

3-07%

4-03%

5-01%

0-14%

1-111%

2-110%

3-17%

4-13%

5-11%

0-22%

1-25%

2-25%

3-23%

4-22%

5-20.6%

0-30.7%

1-31%

2-31%

3-31.0%

4-30.5%

5-30.2%

0-40.2%

1-40.3%

2-40.3%

3-40.2%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.0%

1-50.1%

2-50.1%

3-50.0%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).

FORM · LAST 10

PIRATAS VERACRUZWLLDWDWLWL1.40 PPG

TEPATITLAN FCLLWLLLLWDL0.70 PPG

THE NUMBERS

PIRATAS VERACRUZ HOMExTEPATITLAN FC AWAY

1.70SCORED A GAME0.901.40CONCEDED A GAME3.0020%CLEAN SHEETS0%33%FAILED TO SCORE50%6.67CORNERS A GAME4.333.00CARDS A GAME3.25

THE BANK

THE BANKER MENU

OVER 1.5 CARDS

–

543 OF 573

NO PRICE YET

Both sides' last 5 games point to 5.2+ cards.

Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.

THE QUALITY READ

1.55POINTS A GAME0.36+0.36GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-2.36+7.5SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-9.71.4LAST 5: POINTS A GAME0.211LEAGUE GAMES11

Piratas Veracruz: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference, more shots than it allows, better form (last 5).

PIRATAS VERACRUZ 2:0 HANDICAP

–

389 OF 413

NO PRICE YET

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

74%

NO · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

57%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

62%

NO · 85/90

PIRATAS VERACRUZ OR DRAW

90%

VERY GOOD · 80/85

TEPATITLAN FC OR DRAW

13%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (11 and 11 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

PIRATAS VERACRUZxTEPATITLAN FC

5GAMES52.20SCORED A GAME0.400.60CONCEDED A GAME3.802.8GOALS IN THEIR GAMES4.260%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%60%OVER 2.5 GOALS80%40%BOTH SCORE40%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

TRENDS

Piratas Veracruz have scored in 70% of their games.

Tepatitlan FC have scored in 50% of their games.

Piratas Veracruz kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

Tepatitlan FC kept a clean sheet in 0% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards