Match details. Copa Uruguay, Round of 16. Kick-off is Thu 15 Oct, 01:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.
Form. Deportivo Maldonado have won seven, drawn one and lost two of their last ten, 2.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W W W W. Albion FC have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L L D.
The numbers. Deportivo Maldonado score 2.4 and concede 0.4 a game in their last five at home, with three clean sheets. Deportivo Maldonado average 8.5 shots (3.8 on target), 4.4 corners and 2.2 cards a game. Albion FC score 0.6 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Deportivo Maldonado have won three, drawn four and lost three. Four of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, one was drawn and Albion FC won three. The last time they met, on 10 Jul 2026, it finished Deportivo Maldonado 1-1 Albion FC.
Where it pulls both ways. Deportivo Maldonado are the form side, but the meetings favour Albion FC: in the last ten meetings, Deportivo Maldonado won three, Albion FC won three and four were drawn.
The read. No side to back. A tight game. Form and the meetings point different ways, so I back neither side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 39%. Six of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Deportivo Maldonado or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Deportivo Maldonado (Draw No Bet) (no result call); Deportivo Maldonado to Win (no result call). Predicted score: Deportivo Maldonado 1-0 Albion FC (14% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).