Svaty Jur vs FKM Nove Zamky
Match details. Slovensky Pohar, Round of 32. Kick-off is Tue 13 Oct, 14:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.
Form. Svaty Jur have won three, drawn one and lost three of their last seven, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W D L L. FKM Nove Zamky have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D L L L.
The numbers. Svaty Jur score 1.9 and concede 2.9 a game in their last seven at home, with one clean sheet and three games without a goal. Svaty Jur average 3.5 corners and 2.5 cards a game. FKM Nove Zamky score 1.5 and concede 1.9 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets. FKM Nove Zamky average 10.8 shots (4.6 on target), 7.0 corners and 1.8 cards a game.
The case against. FKM Nove Zamky's record still gives them 41% to win.
The read. Svaty Jur or the draw. An open game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 73%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.10, 83% on the records (Svaty Jur: over 1.5 goals in 6 of 7 at home; FKM Nove Zamky: over 1.5 goals in 8 of 10). Backup: 2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5 at 1.11. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Svaty Jur Over 0.5 goals (the signs point different ways); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Svaty Jur 2-2 FKM Nove Zamky (7% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).