PBPFK

16:00Fri 23 Oct

PFC

PFK Beroe Stara Zagora vs PFC Rilski Sportist Samokov

CLASS E

THE READ

Match details. Vtora Liga, Regular Season - 13. Kick-off is Fri 23 Oct, 16:00 Lagos time. It is played at Stadion Beroe, Stara Zagora.

What's at stake. PFK Beroe Stara Zagora are 8th on 18 points after 12 games, level on points with Nesebar, 1 point clear of Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa. A win would take them above Nesebar. PFC Rilski Sportist Samokov are 5th on 19 points after 12 games, 3 points behind Fratria, level on points with Yantra 2019. A win would take them level on points with Fratria.

Form. PFK Beroe Stara Zagora have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L W D. In this competition PFK Beroe Stara Zagora have gone L W L W D D. PFC Rilski Sportist Samokov have won five, drawn four and lost one of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W W W L. In this competition PFC Rilski Sportist Samokov have gone D W W W L W.

The numbers. PFK Beroe Stara Zagora score 1.4 and concede none a game in their last five at home, with five clean sheets. PFK Beroe Stara Zagora average 4.3 corners and 2.5 cards a game. PFC Rilski Sportist Samokov score 1.4 and concede 0.8 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets and two games without a goal. PFC Rilski Sportist Samokov average 6.2 corners and 2.2 cards a game.

Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: their goals for and against make PFK Beroe Stara Zagora the likelier winners, but PFC Rilski Sportist Samokov are the stronger side on form and the table.

The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 40%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: PFK Beroe Stara Zagora 1-1 PFC Rilski Sportist Samokov (13% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

PFK 5 of 5 (100%) · PFC 10 of 10 (100%)95.1%

PFK Beroe Stara Zagora: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · PFC Rilski Sportist Samokov: under 5.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 95% · PFK Beroe Stara Zagora: only games against sides at PFC Rilski Sportist Samokov's level · PFC Rilski Sportist Samokov: only games against sides at PFK Beroe Stara Zagora's level

Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

PFK 5 of 5 (100%) · PFC 10 of 10 (100%)87.7%

PFK Beroe Stara Zagora: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · PFC Rilski Sportist Samokov: under 4.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90% · PFK Beroe Stara Zagora: only games against sides at PFC Rilski Sportist Samokov's level · PFC Rilski Sportist Samokov: only games against sides at PFK Beroe Stara Zagora's level

HALVES

1st Half Under 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

PFK 4 of 5 (80%) · PFC 7 of 10 (70%)71.7%

PFK Beroe Stara Zagora: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · PFC Rilski Sportist Samokov: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 65% · on half-time scores · PFK Beroe Stara Zagora: only games against sides at PFC Rilski Sportist Samokov's level · PFC Rilski Sportist Samokov: only games against sides at PFK Beroe Stara Zagora's level

Left off the list: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–1 13%

PFK Beroe Stara Zagora goals →

PFC Rilski Sportist… goals ↓

0-08%

1-010%

2-08%

3-04%

4-02%

5-00.5%

0-17%

1-113%

2-19%

3-15%

4-12%

5-10.5%

0-24%

1-27%

2-25%

3-23%

4-21.0%

5-20.3%

0-32%

1-32%

2-32%

3-30.9%

4-30.4%

5-30.1%

0-40.5%

1-40.7%

2-40.5%

3-40.3%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.1%

1-50.1%

2-50.1%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10

PFK BEROE STARA ZAGORAWLWDDDWLWL1.50 PPG

PFC RILSKI SPORTIST SAMOKOVDDWDWLWWWD1.90 PPG

THE NUMBERS

PFK BEROE STARA ZAGORA HOMExPFC RILSKI SPORTIST SAMOKOV AWAY

1.60SCORED A GAME1.401.30CONCEDED A GAME0.8040%CLEAN SHEETS50%25%FAILED TO SCORE33%4.30CORNERS A GAME6.172.50CARDS A GAME2.17

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

1.80POINTS A GAME1.57+0.80GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.29+2.8SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST–1.8LAST 5: POINTS A GAME2.05LEAGUE GAMES7

No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

46%

NO · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

42%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

98%

VERY GOOD · 85/90

PFK BEROE STARA ZAGORA OR DRAW

93%

VERY GOOD · 80/85

PFC RILSKI SPORTIST SAMOKOV OR DRAW

36%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (5 and 7 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

PFK BEROE STARA ZAGORAxPFC RILSKI SPORTIST SAMOKOV

5GAMES51.60SCORED A GAME1.200.80CONCEDED A GAME0.602.4GOALS IN THEIR GAMES1.860%OVER 1.5 GOALS60%60%OVER 2.5 GOALS40%40%BOTH SCORE40%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

TRENDS

PFK Beroe Stara Zagora have scored in 80% of their games.

PFC Rilski Sportist Samokov have scored in 80% of their games.

PFK Beroe Stara Zagora kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.

PFC Rilski Sportist Samokov kept a clean sheet in 50% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards