Match details. Vtora Liga, Regular Season - 13. Kick-off is Fri 23 Oct, 16:00 Lagos time. It is played at Stadion Georgi Benkovski, Pazardzhik.
What's at stake. FK Hebar Pazardzhik are 10th on 17 points after 12 games, level on points with Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa, level on points with Etar Veliko Tarnovo. A win would take them above Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa. OFC Nesebar are 7th on 18 points after 12 games, 1 point behind Yantra 2019, level on points with Beroe. A win would take them above Yantra 2019.
Form. FK Hebar Pazardzhik have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W W L. In this competition FK Hebar Pazardzhik have gone W L W W L D. OFC Nesebar have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L W D W. In this competition OFC Nesebar have gone D L W D W L.
The numbers. FK Hebar Pazardzhik score 2.4 and concede 1.5 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets. FK Hebar Pazardzhik average 6.4 corners and 2.9 cards a game. OFC Nesebar score 1.8 and concede 0.9 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets and three games without a goal. OFC Nesebar average 4.4 corners and 1.9 cards a game.
The read. No side to back. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side.
The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Leave: OFC Nesebar or Over 1.5 Goals (no result call); FK Hebar Pazardzhik or Over 1.5 Goals (no result call). Predicted score: FK Hebar Pazardzhik 1-1 OFC Nesebar (12% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).